Prediction for match Stoke City — Leicester

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In the Championship match between Stoke City and Leicester, scheduled for February 21st, bookmakers have marked Stoke City as a moderate favorite. A win for Stoke City is priced at 2.08, a draw at 3.34, and a victory for Leicester at 3.48. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 45.04% for a Stoke City win, 28.05% for a draw, and 26.92% for a Leicester win. These odds reflect an advantage for Stoke City, though the gap between the teams is not significant, suggesting a potentially hard-fought contest.

Team Recent Match Overview

In their last three matches, Stoke City lost to Fulham 1-2, were defeated by Charlton Athletic 0-1, and drew 0-0 with West Bromwich. Leicester, in the same timeframe, lost to Southampton 1-2, were beaten by Southampton 3-4, and suffered a defeat to Birmingham 1-2. In their last head-to-head meeting on November 22, 2025, Leicester came out on top with a 2-1 win. Over the last five matches, Stoke City has an average possession of 50.8%, 1.8 yellow cards, 7.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Leicester has 50.4% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. These figures show that both teams play quite aggressively, with Leicester committing more fouls.

Teams' Scoring Trends

In a five-match series, Stoke City averages 1.6 total goals per match, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. Leicester's figures are higher: 3.6 goals on average, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4. Stoke City has only surpassed the over 2.5 goals total in 1 out of 5 matches, while Leicester has done so in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Stoke City hasn't surpassed the over 1.5 goals total, while Leicester has in 3 out of 5. In the second half, Stoke City has surpassed over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5, and Leicester in 2 out of 5. Stoke City most often scores between the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute marks (33% each), while Leicester scores most in the first 15 minutes (38%). Stoke City concedes more often between the 46-60 minute mark (40%), while Leicester concedes towards the end (76-90, 30%). Overall, Leicester shows a more productive profile, while Stoke City tends to play low-scoring games. Considering that Stoke City has only surpassed the over 2.5 goals total once in their last five matches, and Leicester four times, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.01 seems logical, given Leicester's attacking style and defensive instability.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of average corners over 5 matches, Stoke City has 3.6 while Leicester has 5.8, totaling 9.4. In a series of five games, Stoke City has surpassed the over 9.5 corners total three times, Leicester four times. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.77, and under 9.5 is 1.93. Stoke City is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.54. Based on statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, as both teams regularly earn numerous corners. It is also worth noting that Leicester tends to earn more corners, while Stoke City can maintain a high pace in this aspect.