Prediction for match Stoke City — Oxford United

Odds and Outcome Probability Percentages

In the Championship on 25.02.2026, Stoke City will face Oxford United. According to the 1X2 odds, Stoke City is the favorite with a win priced at 1.82, a draw at 3.40, and an Oxford United victory at 4.47. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Stoke City - 51.48%, draw - 27.56%, Oxford United - 20.96%. The most likely outcome based on odds and percentages is a Stoke City win.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Stoke City has averaged 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4, and Oxford United has scored 0.2 and conceded 1.4. Stoke City holds 48.8% possession, while Oxford United has 33.6%. Average yellow cards: Stoke City - 2, Oxford United - 3.2. Fouls per match: Stoke City - 6.6, Oxford United - 12. Offsides: 2.6 for Stoke City and 1.8 for Oxford United. Stoke City's last three matches: 21.02.2026 - Stoke City vs Leicester - 2-2, 15.02.2026 - Stoke City vs Fulham - 1-2, 11.02.2026 - Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City - 1-0. Oxford United's last three matches: 21.02.2026 - Middlesbrough vs Oxford United - 0-0, 15.02.2026 - Oxford United vs Sunderland - 0-1, 10.02.2026 - Oxford United vs Norwich City - 0-3. The last head-to-head meeting was on 04.11.2025 - Oxford United vs Stoke City - 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Stoke City has gone over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Oxford United has the same record: two overs and three unders. Stoke City's average total goals is 2, and Oxford United's is 1.6. Goals scored: Stoke City - 0.6, Oxford United - 0.2. Both teams concede 1.4. In the first half, Stoke City never had over 1.5 goals, while Oxford United did so twice out of five matches. In the second half, Stoke City recorded over 1.5 goals twice, Oxford United once. Goal intervals: Stoke City most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Oxford United spreads its goals across three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 - 33% each, and concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (40%). The overall low scoring from both teams and the total goal stats suggest betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.63.

Corner Totals Analysis

Stoke City averages 3.8 corners per game, Oxford United - 2.8. Over a five-match span, Stoke City has exceeded 9.5 corners three times, Oxford United four times. The corner total market closest to the average sum is 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.16, under at 4.03. Another option is the 9.5 total: over 9.5 is at 1.66, under at 2.09. Stoke City is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.18. Neither team shows high activity in corners, but the regularity of exceeding 9.5 corners makes the over 9.5 corners option viable.