Prediction for match Stoke City — Southampton, 31.01.2026

Match Analysis: Stoke City vs Southampton

In the English Championship on January 31, Stoke City will face Southampton. The odds for Southampton to win are 2.45, while a victory for Stoke City is priced at 2.76, and a draw is at 3.32. Based on current form and statistics, the probability percentages are as follows: Stoke City 33.81%, draw 28.11%, Southampton 38.09%. Southampton is the favorite according to the probabilities, but the difference between the teams isn't too large, promising an intriguing matchup. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.89, and for both teams to score is 1.67.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Stoke City has an average possession of 51%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and records 3.2 offsides per game. Southampton appears slightly more disciplined: 53.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three games, Stoke City played as follows: January 24 - Birmingham 1-1 Stoke City, January 21 - Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough, January 17 - Stoke City 0-0 QPR. Southampton's last three matches were: January 25 - Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton, January 21 - Southampton 1-0 Sheffield United, January 17 - Southampton 1-2 Hull City. The last head-to-head encounter was on August 23, 2025: Southampton 1-2 Stoke City.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Stoke City had over 2.5 goals once, and under 2.5 goals four times. For Southampton, the opposite is true: over 2.5 goals occurred three times, under twice. Stoke City's average total goals per match is 1.6, scoring 1 and conceding 0.6 per game. Southampton's average total is 3, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. By halves, Stoke City never had over 1.5 goals in the first half, and twice in the second half. Southampton had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second half. Stoke City most often scores between 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while conceding between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (40% each). Southampton is most prolific between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (33% each) and concedes most often between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (33% each). Given Southampton's consistent over 2.5 goals performance and Stoke City's tendency for low-scoring games, but considering Southampton's high average total, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.89 seems logical. This is further supported by Southampton's frequency of over 2.5 goals - 3 out of 5, and both teams' tendency for high-scoring finishes.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Stoke City averages 5.4 corners per match, while Southampton averages 5.2. In their last five games, Stoke City had over 9.5 corners twice, and Southampton four times. The line for total corners closest to the average sum is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.13, under 10.5 at 1.63. Stoke City is favored to win the corner count at 1.83. Considering both teams' average corner activity, betting on over 10.5 corners seems justified, especially given Southampton's frequency. Another option is to bet on Stoke City to win the corner count, considering their consistency in this aspect.