Prediction for match Strasbourg — Mainz 05

Match Analysis: Strasbourg vs Mainz 05

On April 16, in the Conference League, Strasbourg will face Mainz 05. Bookmakers have set the odds of Strasbourg winning at 1.96, a draw at 3.58, and a victory for Mainz 05 at 4.16. According to probability percentages, Strasbourg has a 49.54% chance of winning, Mainz 05 has a 23.34% chance, and a draw is at 27.12%. Based on these odds, Strasbourg appears to be the favorite, but the margin is not large, adding intrigue to the match.

Team Stats and Figures

In their last three matches, Strasbourg's results were: April 9 - Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg - 2-0, April 4 - Strasbourg vs Nice - 3-1, March 22 - Nantes vs Strasbourg - 2-3. Mainz 05's last three matches were: April 12 - Mainz 05 vs Freiburg - 0-1, April 9 - Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg - 2-0, April 4 - Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 - 1-2. In their last head-to-head on April 9, Mainz 05 defeated Strasbourg 2-0. In a five-match series, Strasbourg has an average possession of 61%, with an average of 1 yellow card, 10.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Mainz 05 has 41.6% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides on average.

Goals in Strasbourg vs Mainz 05 Match

Over a series of five matches, Strasbourg averages 2.6 goals per game, while Mainz 05 averages 2.2. Strasbourg scores an average of 1.4 goals, Mainz 05 scores 1.6, and they concede 1.2 and 0.6 goals respectively. In five matches, both teams had over 2.5 goals twice, and under 2.5 goals occurred three times. In the first half, both teams scored more than 1.5 goals in three out of five matches, while in the second half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for each team. Strasbourg most frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, and 31-45 minute intervals (25% each), while Mainz 05 scores in the 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each). Strasbourg concedes 60% of their goals between 76-90 minutes, while Mainz 05 concedes 25% in four different intervals. Considering neither team shows a distinct over-profile and over 2.5 goals occurred only 2 out of 5 times, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems logical.

Corners: Stats and Possible Bets

Both teams average 5.4 corners per match. Over the last five matches, Strasbourg had over 9.5 total corners 4 times, and Mainz 05 did so 3 times. The closest available total to the average number of corners (10.8) is the 9.5 line. In four out of five Strasbourg matches and three out of five Mainz 05 matches, over 9.5 corners were recorded, indicating both teams' tendency for active wing play. Therefore, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given the recent frequency in both teams' matches.