Prediction for match Strasbourg — Brest, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Strasbourg vs Brest

On November 30, a Ligue 1 match between Strasbourg and Brest will take place. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Strasbourg is priced at 1.90, a draw at 3.86, and a victory for Brest at 4.36. Based on probabilities, Strasbourg has a 51.87% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.53%, and Brest's chance is 22.60%. As the match approaches, bookmakers highlight Strasbourg as the favorite, but a draw is also considered a possibility given the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Strasbourg has an average possession of 53%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 8.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Brest shows 44.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides on average. In Strasbourg's last three matches: November 27 - Strasbourg 2-1 Crystal Palace, November 22 - Lens 1-0 Strasbourg, November 9 - Strasbourg 2-0 Lille. For Brest: November 23 - Brest 3-2 Metz, November 8 - Marseille 3-0 Brest, November 2 - Brest 0-0 Lyon. In the head-to-head meeting on February 23, 2025, Strasbourg and Brest played to a 0-0 draw, with no over 2.5 total goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Strasbourg's last five matches, the over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, and the under 2.5 happened 2 times. Similarly for Brest: 3 out of 5 matches went over 2.5, and 2 under. By half, Strasbourg had over 1.5 goals in the first half once in 5 matches, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Brest had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Average stats: Strasbourg - 2.8 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4; Brest - 2.4 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.8. Strasbourg most frequently scores between the 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (30% each), Brest - towards the end (76-90 minutes, 33%). In terms of goals conceded: Strasbourg's are spread across four intervals, while 40% of Brest's conceded goals occur between the 76-90 minutes. Based on recent games, average totals, and half-time frequencies, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.52 seems justified - both teams tend to be productive, especially in the second half, and Brest shows defensive issues in the latter stages of the match.

Corners in the Match

Strasbourg averages 2.8 corners over 5 matches, Brest - 4.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for both teams is 1 out of 5. The market's closest average total is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.70, under 8.5 at 2.07. For corners outcome, Strasbourg is favored with odds of 1.65. Given Strasbourg's low average for corners and Brest's not very high, it makes sense to consider under 9.5 total corners or Strasbourg's individual total under 5.5, though the main line is closer to 8-9 corners. In this match, no more than 9-10 corners are expected, with Brest having a better chance of gaining an edge in this component than in the main result.