Prediction for match Sturm Graz — Crvena Zvezda, 11.12.2025

Match Odds and Probability Percentages

In the UEFA Europa League, Sturm Graz faces Crvena Zvezda on December 11, 2025. The odds for a Crvena Zvezda victory are 2.40, for Sturm Graz - 2.99, and a draw is at 3.78. In terms of probability percentages, the distribution is as follows: Sturm Graz - 32.93%, draw - 26.05%, Crvena Zvezda - 41.02%. Crvena Zvezda stands out as the favorite with the highest probability of winning and the lowest odds for success.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sturm Graz has an average possession of 54.8%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Crvena Zvezda has a higher average possession of 60%, with 0.8 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. In the last three matches, Sturm Graz played as follows: December 7 - Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK - 2-1, December 3 - Sturm Graz vs WSG Tirol - 1-3, November 30 - Hartberg vs Sturm Graz - 0-1. Crvena Zvezda's last three matches were: December 7 - Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina - 0-1, December 4 - Crvena Zvezda vs Čukarički - 3-0, November 30 - OFK Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda - 3-4. The last head-to-head meeting between these teams was on July 8, 2021, and ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Sturm Graz vs Crvena Zvezda

In their last five games, Sturm Graz has an average of 3 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Crvena Zvezda has an average total of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Sturm Graz had 4 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, Crvena Zvezda had 2 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were recorded for Sturm Graz 2 times out of 5, and for Crvena Zvezda 1 time out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 2 occurrences of over 1.5 goals in 5 matches. For goal intervals, Sturm Graz most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (33%) and from 61 to 75 (33%), while conceding evenly in the second half - 22% in each of the four intervals from 16 to 90 minutes. Crvena Zvezda most often scores from 46 to 60 minutes (38%) and concedes from 16 to 30 (40%). Given the high average scoring of Sturm Graz and the consistent performance of Crvena Zvezda, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems logical, considering 4 occurrences for Sturm Graz in their last five matches and the average figures of both teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Sturm Graz averages 6 corners per match, Crvena Zvezda - 9.8. In the last five matches, both teams recorded over 9.5 corners 4 times out of 5. Among the corner total odds, the line closest to the sum of the average figures (15.8) is over 10.5: over 10.5 is at 2.42, under 10.5 - at 1.52. In corner outcome betting, Crvena Zvezda is the favorite with odds of 1.91. The high corner averages and frequent occurrences of over 9.5 allow considering the option of over 10.5 as justified by the statistics of both teams.