Prediction for match Sturm Graz — Grazer AK, 07.12.2025

Match Analysis: Sturm Graz vs. Grazer AK

On December 7th, in the Austrian Bundesliga, Sturm Graz will face Grazer AK. The odds for a Sturm Graz victory are 1.81, a draw is at 3.38, and a win for Grazer AK is valued at 4.57. In terms of probabilities: Sturm Graz has a 51.77% chance, a draw is 27.72%, and Grazer AK has 20.50%. Based on these figures, Sturm Graz is considered the favorite, but the gap isn't huge, adding intrigue to the choice of totals and scoring outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sturm Graz played as follows: December 3rd - Sturm Graz vs. WSG Tirol 1-3, November 30th - Hartberg vs. Sturm Graz 0-1, November 27th - Panathinaikos vs. Sturm Graz 2-1. In the same period, Grazer AK played: November 29th - Grazer AK vs. BW Linz 3-1, November 23rd - Rapid Vienna vs. Grazer AK 1-2, November 8th - Austria Vienna vs. Grazer AK 2-1. On average over the last five games, Sturm Graz has 54.6% ball possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Grazer AK has 44.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on August 30th, Grazer AK lost to Sturm Graz 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Sturm Graz shows an average total of 2.8 goals, while Grazer AK averages 3. In terms of goals per match, Sturm Graz scores 1, and Grazer AK 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Sturm Graz has 3 out of 5, and Grazer AK 4 out of 5. More than 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 2 times for Sturm Graz and once for Grazer AK, while in the second half, it was 2 for Sturm Graz and 4 for Grazer AK. In terms of goal intervals: Sturm Graz scores evenly across all segments up to the 75th minute (20% each), while Grazer AK scores most frequently between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each). For goals conceded, Sturm Graz is most vulnerable between the 61st-75th minutes (33%), and Grazer AK between the 76th-90th minutes (40%). This dynamic indicates increased activity in the second half, especially for Grazer AK. The overall goal stats and frequency of over 2.5 goals make betting on over 2.5 goals a primary consideration: odds at 2.13.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last five games, Sturm Graz averages 5 corners, and Grazer AK 2.6. For over 9.5 corners: both teams have 3 out of 5. Considering a total of 9.5 corners, the odds for over are 1.89, and for under, 1.85. For corners, Sturm Graz is the favorite with odds of 1.22. Based on average values and frequencies, it is logical to expect 8-10 corners, with a possible advantage in deliveries for Sturm Graz.