Prediction for match Sturm Graz — LASK, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Sturm Graz vs LASK

In the Austrian Bundesliga, Sturm Graz will face LASK on November 23rd. The odds for the match are as follows: a win for Sturm Graz is at 1.95, a draw at 3.54, and LASK is at 3.67. The probabilities of outcomes are: 48.03% for a Sturm Graz win, 26.46% for a draw, and 25.52% for a LASK win. Thus, Sturm Graz is considered a slight favorite, but the difference between the teams is not significant, and a draw also has a noticeable percentage.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent matches, Sturm Graz has the following averages over five games: 49.8% possession, 1 yellow card, 13.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per match. LASK averages 48.4% possession, 1 yellow, 9.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Sturm Graz's last three matches: 11/09 - Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg 1-1, 11/06 - Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest 0-0, 11/02 - Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz 2-1. For LASK: 11/09 - LASK vs Altach 1-0, 11/01 - BW Linz vs LASK 0-1, 10/25 - LASK vs Grazer AK 1-0. In the last head-to-head on 08/01, LASK lost to Sturm Graz 0-2, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals in the last five matches, Sturm Graz saw over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while LASK only once. By halves, Sturm Graz had over 1.5 goals in the first half 1 out of 5 times and over 1.5 in the second half 3 out of 5 times, while LASK had over 1.5 in each half 1 out of 5 times. Average goals over 5 matches: Sturm Graz 2.4 goals per match, LASK 2.2. Sturm Graz scores 0.8 per game, conceding 1.6, while LASK scores 1.6 and concedes only 0.6. Sturm Graz most frequently scores between the 61st-75th minute (67%), and LASK between the 76th-90th minute (67%). In terms of goals conceded: 43% of Sturm Graz's conceded goals occur between the 31st-45th minute, while LASK concedes 33% between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes. Considering Sturm Graz's low scoring and LASK's solid defense, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems reasonable. This outcome is priced at 1.98.

Corners in the Match

On average, Sturm Graz takes 4.8 corners per game, LASK 5. In the last five matches, both teams saw over 9.5 corners 3 out of 5 times. For this match, the line for over 9.5 corners is at 1.81, under 9.5 at 1.87. Sturm Graz is favored in corners with odds of 1.60. Given these frequencies and averages, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering the attacking stats of both teams in this regard.