Prediction for match Sturm Graz — Red Bull Salzburg, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg

The Austrian Bundesliga is set for an exciting clash between Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg on November 9, 2025. The odds are as follows: a win for Sturm Graz is priced at 2.40, a win for Red Bull Salzburg at 2.70, and a draw at 3.60. The probability distribution is: Sturm Graz - 39.13%, draw - 26.09%, Red Bull Salzburg - 34.78%. Bookmakers see both teams having roughly equal chances of success, with a draw slightly less than a third. This balance of odds and percentages suggests a closely contested match without a clear favorite, but with a high likelihood of goals being scored.

Team Streaks

In their last five matches, Sturm Graz has averaged: possession - 49.4%, yellow cards - 1.4, fouls - 13.6, offsides - 2.2. For Red Bull Salzburg: possession - 48.8%, yellow cards - 1.6, fouls - 10.8, offsides - 1.8. Sturm Graz's last three matches: 06.11.2025 - Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest - 0-0; 02.11.2025 - Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz - 2-1; 26.10.2025 - Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger - 1-3. Red Bull Salzburg's last three matches: 06.11.2025 - Red Bull Salzburg vs Go Ahead Eagles - 2-0; 02.11.2025 - Red Bull Salzburg vs Ried - 4-1; 26.10.2025 - Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg - 0-3. In their last head-to-head on 20.09.2025, Red Bull Salzburg lost to Sturm Graz 0-2, with the total over 2.5 not hitting. Previous encounters between these clubs have often seen high-scoring outcomes.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last 5 matches, Sturm Graz saw the total over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5, and Red Bull Salzburg also in 4 out of 5. By halves, Sturm Graz had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5, and in the second half in 3 out of 5; Red Bull Salzburg had over 1.5 goals in both halves in 4 out of 5. Average goals over 5 matches: Sturm Graz 3.4, Red Bull Salzburg 3.8. Goals scored: 1.4 versus 2.6, conceded: 2 versus 1.2. Sturm Graz most often scores between the 61st and 75th minute (63%), and concedes in the first 15 minutes (30%) and between the 31st and 45th (30%). Red Bull Salzburg's goals are evenly distributed across five intervals, but they most frequently concede between the 46th and 60th minute (40%). The statistics on totals and halves indicate a high likelihood of three or more goals in this match, with both teams regularly playing high-scoring games and likely to score at least once each. Based on these indicators, a bet on both teams to score: yes seems logical.

Corner Kicks Analysis

Sturm Graz averages 4.6 corners per match, Red Bull Salzburg - 3. For total corners over 9.5, Sturm Graz hit 4 out of 5, while Red Bull Salzburg only 1 out of 5. The line offers total corners over 9.5 at 1.92 - under 9.5 at 1.88. For corners, Sturm Graz is favored, with their victory priced at 1.91. Overall, the statistics suggest that Sturm Graz tends to earn more corners, and the total over 9.5 corners has frequently been achieved by them. In this matchup, a bet on Sturm Graz to win on corners or total over 9.5 corners seems justified.