Prediction for match Sturm Graz — TSV Hartberg

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

The match between Sturm Graz and TSV Hartberg in the Austrian Bundesliga is set for 12.04.2026. Bookmakers see Sturm Graz as the favorite: a win for them is priced at 1.72, a draw at 3.66, and a victory for Hartberg at 4.70. In terms of probabilities, Sturm Graz has a 54.47% chance to win, a draw is at 25.60%, and Hartberg at 19.93%. The odds for under 2.5 total goals are 1.93, while over 2.5 is at 1.84. It's also worth noting that both teams to score: yes is 1.77, no is 1.94. Individual team totals are: Sturm Graz over 1.5 goals at 1.80, Hartberg over 0.5 goals at 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sturm Graz has averaged 47% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Hartberg averages 40.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1 offside. Sturm Graz's last three matches: 05.04.2026 Rapid Vienna - Sturm Graz 0-2, 20.03.2026 Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg 1-1, 15.03.2026 Austria Vienna - Sturm Graz 2-5. Hartberg's recent games: 05.04.2026 Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg 1-2, 22.03.2026 Hartberg - Austria Vienna 0-1, 13.03.2026 LASK - Hartberg 0-0. In their last head-to-head on 30.11.2025, Hartberg lost to Sturm Graz 0-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg

Sturm Graz averages 3.4 goals per game over their last 5 matches, while Hartberg averages only 1.2. Sturm Graz scores 2.4 and concedes 0.8, while Hartberg scores 0.4 and concedes 0.8. In their last five games, Sturm Graz saw over 2.5 goals twice, under 2.5 goals three times. Hartberg saw over 2.5 goals once, with under 2.5 in the other four games. By halves, Sturm Graz had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and in the second half three times. Hartberg had over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and in the second half once as well. Sturm Graz most frequently scores between the 46-60 and 76-90 minute marks (29% each), while Hartberg scores most often in the first 30 minutes (50% in each of the two intervals). In terms of goals conceded: Sturm Graz concedes most often between the 61-75 minutes (36%), Hartberg between the 46-60 minutes (50%). Given Hartberg's low scoring and under-profile, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.93 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Sturm Graz averages 5.4 corners per match, Hartberg 1.8. In their last five matches, both teams saw over 9.5 total corners twice, and under three times. The proposed corner total closest to their average (7.2) is the line at 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.48, under at 2.36. For corner outcomes, Sturm Graz is the favorite with odds of 1.35. Considering Hartberg's low corner activity and Sturm Graz's moderate stats, it's logical to consider a bet on under 9.5 total corners or Hartberg's individual total under 4 corners.