Prediction for match Sturm Graz — WSG Tirol, 03.12.2025

Match Analysis: Sturm Graz vs WSG Tirol

In the Austrian Bundesliga on December 3, Sturm Graz will face WSG Tirol. The odds for a Sturm Graz victory are set at 1.59, indicating their status as favorites in this matchup. A draw is priced at 3.95, while a win for WSG Tirol is at 5.40. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 58.93% for a Sturm Graz win, 23.72% for a draw, and 17.35% for a WSG Tirol win. In other markets, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.78, both teams to score is 1.79, and under 2.5 goals is 2.00.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sturm Graz played as follows: 30.11.2025 - Hartberg vs Sturm Graz 0-1, 27.11.2025 - Panathinaikos vs Sturm Graz 2-1, 23.11.2025 - Sturm Graz vs LASK 1-3. During the same period, WSG Tirol recorded these results: 29.11.2025 - Austria Vienna vs WSG Tirol 0-0, 23.11.2025 - Red Bull Salzburg vs WSG Tirol 2-3, 09.11.2025 - WSG Tirol vs Rapid Vienna 1-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on December 7, 2024, WSG Tirol lost to Sturm Graz 0-3. Over the last five matches, the average ball possession for Sturm Graz is 52.6%, while WSG Tirol has 36.8%. Yellow cards average at 1.6 for Sturm Graz and 2.4 for WSG Tirol. Fouls: 14.8 vs 11.8, offsides: 1.4 for Sturm Graz and 1.2 for WSG Tirol.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Sturm Graz has an average total goals of 2, while WSG Tirol has 1.8. Sturm Graz scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1.2, whereas WSG Tirol scores 1.2 and concedes only 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, Sturm Graz has 2 out of 5, while WSG Tirol has only 1 out of 5. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred twice for Sturm Graz and once for WSG Tirol. In the second half, over 1.5 goals happened once for both teams. In terms of goal distribution by time, Sturm Graz most frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals - each 25%. WSG Tirol most often scores in the first 15 minutes (40%) and at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 40%). For goals conceded: Sturm Graz most frequently concedes between 16-45 minutes (29% in each of the two intervals), while WSG Tirol concedes in the 61-75 minute interval (75%). Considering the low scoring nature of Sturm Graz and the not very high frequency of over 2.5 goals for both teams, as well as the odds of 2.00 for under 2.5 goals, betting on under 2.5 goals seems a logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last 5 matches, Sturm Graz averages 4 corners, and WSG Tirol averages 4.2. For over 9.5 corners: Sturm Graz has 3 out of 5, and WSG Tirol has 2 out of 5. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (8.2) is 8.5: the odds for over 8.5 are 1.42, and for under 2.53. For the outcome on corners, Sturm Graz is the favorite with odds of 1.20. Considering the average values for both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified but not overly risky. You might also consider betting on Sturm Graz to win on corners, given the odds of 1.20.