Prediction for match Sudtirol — Avellino, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Sudtirol vs Avellino

On November 29, Sudtirol will face Avellino in Italy's Serie B. According to the 1X2 odds, Sudtirol is favored to win with odds of 2.06, which corresponds to a 45.46% probability. A draw is set at odds of 3.22 (29.09%), while Avellino's win is at 3.68 (25.45%). This suggests moderate confidence in Sudtirol, but Avellino's chances shouldn't be dismissed. Both teams are in inconsistent form, reflected in the distribution of winning and draw probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sudtirol has shown low ball possession (33.8%), averages 16.2 fouls per match, receives 1.4 yellow cards, and records 2.2 offsides. Avellino has higher ball control (56.8%), commits fewer fouls (11.6), but receives 3 yellow cards per game and 1.4 offsides. In the last three matches, Sudtirol's results were: Modena 0-0 Sudtirol on 23.11, Sudtirol 1-1 Carrarese on 08.11, and Padova 1-1 Sudtirol on 01.11. Avellino's recent matches were: Avellino 0-3 Empoli on 22.11, Cesena 3-0 Avellino on 09.11, and Avellino 4-3 Reggiana on 01.11. These results confirm that both teams are prone to fluctuations in form, with Avellino tending to play more high-scoring matches, while Sudtirol is more cautious.

Goals by Match Statistics

In terms of over/under totals over the last five matches, only 1 of Sudtirol's games ended with more than 2.5 goals, while 4 of Avellino's did. On average, Sudtirol scores 0.4 and concedes 1.2 goals, totaling 1.6 goals per match. Avellino's averages are significantly higher: 1 scored, 2.8 conceded, and 3.8 goals in total. By halves, only 1 of Sudtirol's 5 matches had more than 1.5 goals in either half, while Avellino had 4 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Sudtirol most frequently scores and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (40% and 67% respectively). Avellino's goals often come between the 31st-45th, 46th-60th, and 61st-75th minutes (25% each), with most goals conceded late in the game (76th-90th, 36%). This difference in approach and results highlights a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.19: Avellino regularly participates in high-scoring matches, and both teams' defenses appear unreliable, especially Avellino's.

Corner Totals Analysis

Sudtirol averages 4.8 corners per match, while Avellino averages 5.8. In the last five games, Sudtirol had 2 out of 5 matches with more than 9.5 corners, while Avellino had 3 out of 5. The combined average total for corners is 10.6. Among the available totals, the line closest to this value is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.60, under 10.5 at 1.40. Sudtirol is favored for corner outcomes, with odds of 1.63. Given that both teams consistently deliver 5 or more corners, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified, especially in matches with high attacking intensity.