Prediction for match Sudtirol — Modena

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie B on April 11, 2026, Sudtirol will face Modena. According to the 1X2 odds, Modena is the favorite with odds of 2.49 for their victory, a draw is set at 2.99, and a win for Sudtirol is at 3.02. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Sudtirol win - 31.03%, draw - 31.34%, Modena win - 37.63%. These percentages reflect a moderate edge for Modena, but the gap between the teams is not too large. Considering the odds, bookmakers expect a fairly close contest with all three outcomes possible.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sudtirol has an average of 45% possession, receives 3.2 yellow cards per game, commits 17.8 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides. In the same period, Modena has 48.8% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Recent results for Sudtirol: 06.04.2026 Cesena 1-1 Sudtirol, 22.03.2026 Sudtirol 1-3 Frosinone, 18.03.2026 Avellino 3-2 Sudtirol. For Modena: 06.04.2026 Bari 3-1 Modena, 21.03.2026 Modena 2-1 Mantova, 13.03.2026 Modena 3-0 Spezia. In their head-to-head on 23.11.2025, Modena and Sudtirol played to a 0-0 draw.

Goals and Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Sudtirol's average total goals per match is 2.4, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Modena's average total is higher at 2.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 for Sudtirol and 4 out of 5 for Modena. More than 1.5 goals in the first half happened once for Sudtirol and twice for Modena, in the second half - twice for Sudtirol and three times for Modena. Sudtirol most frequently scores between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), while Modena scores most between 46-60 minutes (30%). Sudtirol concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (43%), and Modena between 76-90 minutes (67%). Given Modena's consistent scoring and 4 out of 5 matches going over 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.21 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Sudtirol averages 4 corners per match, while Modena averages 4.8. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 did not occur for Sudtirol and only once for Modena. According to the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.81. Modena is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.97. Together, both teams average about 8.8 corners per game, which leans towards the lower totals, so considering under 9.5 total corners makes sense. Given the averages, it's reasonable to expect not too many corners.