Prediction for match Sunderland — Bournemouth, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Sunderland vs Bournemouth

The English Premier League features a clash between Sunderland and Bournemouth, scheduled for November 29, 2025. According to the odds for the main outcome, a Bournemouth win is priced at 2.46, Sunderland at 3.15, and a draw at 3.44. The probability distribution is as follows: Sunderland is given a 31.29% chance, a draw 28.65%, and Bournemouth 40.06%. Bournemouth is considered the most likely winner, but the gap between the teams is less than 9 percentage points, which keeps the intrigue alive for both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sunderland has averaged 42.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Bournemouth shows 55.2% possession, 2.8 cards, 14.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Sunderland's last three matches were: 22.11.2025 Fulham 1-0 Sunderland, 08.11.2025 Sunderland 2-2 Arsenal, 03.11.2025 Sunderland 1-1 Everton. Bournemouth's were: 22.11.2025 Bournemouth 2-2 West Ham, 09.11.2025 Aston Villa 4-0 Bournemouth, 02.11.2025 Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth. In their head-to-head on 29.04.2017, Sunderland vs Bournemouth ended 0-1, with under 2.5 goals.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five games, Sunderland played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Bournemouth went over 2.5 goals four times out of five. On average, Sunderland scores 1.4 and concedes 1 goal, Bournemouth scores 1.6 and concedes 2.4. By halves, only 1 out of 5 Sunderland matches had over 1.5 goals in both halves, while Bournemouth had 5 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Sunderland most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (43%), while Bournemouth also prefers the end of the match (29% in the same interval). Sunderland's goals conceded are evenly distributed, while Bournemouth's are concentrated at the start of each half (29% in intervals 0-15 and 31-45). Considering Bournemouth's high scoring and frequent over 2.5 goal matches, along with their defensive vulnerabilities (2.4 conceded over 5 games), betting on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.05 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last 5 matches, Sunderland averaged 2.6 corners, Bournemouth 6.6, totaling 9.2. For over 9.5 corners: Sunderland had it twice in 5 games, Bournemouth 5 out of 5. The total closest to the average is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.73, under 9.5 is 1.99. Bournemouth is favored to win the corner count at 1.62 odds. Considering Bournemouth's active play and high recent corner stats, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical.