Prediction for match Sunderland — Brighton

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Premier League on March 14, Sunderland will face Brighton. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Brighton's victory is priced at 2.28, a draw is at 3.45, and Sunderland's win is at 3.49. The probability percentages are: Brighton - 43.21%, draw - 28.56%, Sunderland - 28.23%. Brighton stands out as the favorite according to both the odds and probabilities, but the gap isn't too large, adding extra intrigue to the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sunderland recorded the following results: on March 8, they lost to Port Vale 0-1, on March 3, they defeated Leeds 1-0, and on February 28, they drew 1-1 with Bournemouth. During the same period, Brighton lost to Arsenal 0-1 on March 4, beat Nottingham Forest 2-1 on March 1, and overcame Brentford 2-0 on February 21. In their head-to-head match on December 20, 2025, Brighton and Sunderland played to a 0-0 draw. Secondary statistics over five matches show Sunderland with an average possession of 48.6%, receiving 2.4 yellow cards, committing 11.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Brighton had 52.8% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. These figures reflect Brighton's more aggressive style and Sunderland's slightly better discipline in terms of cards and fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Sunderland's total over 2.5 occurred once, under 2.5 occurred four times. For Brighton, over 2.5 was recorded twice, under 2.5 three times. The average number of goals per match for Sunderland is 1.8, for Brighton - 2. Both teams average 0.8 goals scored, with Sunderland conceding 1 and Brighton 1.2. By halves: Sunderland had no matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and only once out of five in the second half. Brighton had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half, and once in the second half. By intervals: Sunderland most frequently scores between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Brighton scores most in the first 15 minutes (33%). For goals conceded: Sunderland often concedes between 61-75 minutes (33%), Brighton in the first 15 minutes (50%). Overall, these data suggest low scoring from both teams, rare occurrences of over 2.5 totals, and average goal stats. A logical choice is a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.81.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Sunderland averages 5 corners per match, Brighton - 4.4. In the last five meetings, Sunderland exceeded the total of over 9.5 corners all five times, while Brighton did so three out of five times. For the corners market: over 9.5 is priced at 1.84, under 9.5 at 1.90. Brighton is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.85. Given both teams regularly take a fair number of corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that Sunderland consistently reaches high numbers in this aspect, and Brighton can keep up the pace with their flank deliveries.