Prediction for match Sunderland — Newcastle, 14.12.2025

Match Analysis: Sunderland vs Newcastle

The English Premier League offers an intriguing clash on December 14th as Sunderland takes on Newcastle. According to the 1X2 odds, Newcastle is favored with a 2.28 odds, a draw is at 3.43, and a Sunderland victory is rated at 3.49. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Newcastle 43.14%, Sunderland 28.18%, draw 28.68%. Newcastle appears to be the preferred side, but Sunderland is capable of putting up a fight, as indicated by the close odds for a draw and a home win. Expect both sides to be active, given their attacking stats and the frequency of high-scoring matches in recent rounds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sunderland has an average possession of 38.2%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and has 2.2 offsides per game. Newcastle shows a higher possession rate at 52.8%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 6.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Recent results for Sunderland include: December 6th - Manchester City 3-0 Sunderland, December 3rd - Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland, November 29th - Sunderland 3-2 Bournemouth. Newcastle played Bayer on December 10th to a 2-2 draw, defeated Burnley 2-1 on December 6th, and drew with Tottenham 2-2 on December 2nd. In their last head-to-head on January 6th, 2024, Newcastle defeated Sunderland 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams tend to play high-scoring football. In their last five matches, Sunderland has an average total of 3 goals, while Newcastle has 3.8. Sunderland scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1.8, while Newcastle scores 2.2 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Sunderland has seen 3 out of 5 matches go over, and Newcastle has all 5 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Sunderland had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Newcastle 4 out of 5. Sunderland's most frequent goal intervals are 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (30% each), while Newcastle spreads their goals evenly across 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each). Sunderland concedes most often in the first 15 minutes and from 61 to 75 (40% each), while Newcastle concedes frequently towards the end (76-90, 30%). Both teams show a strong over-profile, and a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.99 seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Sunderland averages 4 corners per game, Newcastle 7.6, totaling 11.6. In the last five matches, Sunderland had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, while Newcastle had all 5 out of 5. Among the odds for corner totals, there is a pair for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.63, under 9.5 at 2.14. Newcastle is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.79. Considering both teams' corner stats and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, it is logical to expect a match rich in set-pieces, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems reasonable.