Prediction for match Swansea — Middlesbrough

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on April 6, Swansea City will face Middlesbrough. The odds for a Middlesbrough win are 1.89, a draw is priced at 3.58, and a Swansea City win is at 3.86. According to the calculated probabilities for the 1X2 outcome: Middlesbrough is rated at 49.56%, a draw at 26.17%, and Swansea City at 24.27%. Middlesbrough is the favorite according to the odds, but Swansea City isn't without a chance, suggesting a potentially competitive match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Swansea City drew 3-3 with Sheffield United on April 3, lost 0-3 to Coventry on March 21, and were defeated 0-2 by Wrexham on March 13. Middlesbrough's last three games saw them lose 1-2 to Millwall on April 3, draw 0-0 with Blackburn Rovers on March 21, and end 1-1 with Bristol City on March 14. In their last head-to-head on August 9, 2025, Middlesbrough defeated Swansea City 1-0. Additional statistics show that over a five-match span, Swansea City averages 56% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and has 1.4 offsides per game. Middlesbrough demonstrates 69.4% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 6.6 fouls, and also 1.4 offsides. This indicates Middlesbrough's ball control and more disciplined defense.

Goals Expectation in Swansea City vs Middlesbrough

In terms of scoring, Swansea City averages 3.2 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. Middlesbrough's averages are lower: 2 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Swansea City went over in 3 out of 5, while Middlesbrough only 2 out of 5. In the first half, Swansea City played over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, while Middlesbrough had none (0 out of 5). In the second half, Swansea City went over twice out of 5, Middlesbrough 3 out of 5. This suggests Swansea City scores and concedes more in the second half, whereas Middlesbrough has a more even distribution, slightly favoring the second half. Swansea City most frequently scores between the 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks (25% each), and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (50%). Middlesbrough scores most often between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (50% each), and concedes in the final minutes - 76-90 (38%). Summing up, the match might not be high-scoring: Middlesbrough has a low average of goals conceded, and both teams do not frequently surpass the over 2.5 total. Therefore, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.95 seems reasonable.

Corners Totals Analysis

Swansea City averages 4.2 corners per match, Middlesbrough 11. Over a five-match span, Swansea City had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5, Middlesbrough in 5 out of 5. The closest line to the combined average (15.2) is 11.5. For this line: over 11.5 corners is at 3.24, under 11.5 is at 1.26. Middlesbrough is favored in corners with odds of 1.49. Considering Middlesbrough consistently delivers many corners, it makes sense to consider options for over 11.5 corners or Middlesbrough to win on corners. Also, note that Swansea City delivers fewer, and the difference in averages is notable.