Prediction for match Swansea — Southampton

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In the English Championship on 18.04.2026, Swansea City will face Southampton. According to the 1X2 odds, Southampton is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.84, with a probability of 50.89% according to bookmakers. Swansea City is at 3.66 with a 25.58% chance, while a draw is at 3.98 (23.53%). Considering current form and recent match statistics, Southampton appears more confident in all key areas. Swansea City lags in average scoring and concedes more, which is reflected in the odds distribution for the main outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Swansea City averages 50.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Southampton shows 54.6% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In Swansea City's last three matches: 11.04.2026 Leicester - Swansea City 0-1, 06.04.2026 Swansea City - Middlesbrough 2-2, 03.04.2026 Sheffield United - Swansea City 3-3. For Southampton: 14.04.2026 Southampton - Blackburn Rovers 3-0, 11.04.2026 Southampton - Derby County 2-1, 07.04.2026 Wrexham - Southampton 1-5. The last head-to-head meeting was on 18.10.2025: Southampton - Swansea City 0-0.

How Many Goals in Swansea City vs Southampton Match

In the last five games, Swansea City has an average total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2 per game. Southampton's figures are higher: 3.4 goals on average, 2.8 scored and only 0.6 conceded. Swansea City has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5, while Southampton has in 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for both teams, in the second half, only once for Swansea City, and 3 times for Southampton. Swansea City most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (43%), while Southampton scores between 31-45 minutes (30%). Swansea City most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (33%), and Southampton between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Given Southampton's high scoring and Swansea City's unstable defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.78 seems justified.

Corner Bets

For average corners per match, Swansea City has 2.6, and Southampton 5.2. In their last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. The closest to the average total is 7.5, for which there are two bets: total corners over 7.5 at 1.18, under 7.5 at 3.81. Southampton is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.72. Based on the statistics, Southampton should have the edge in the number of corners, and the overall total corners have a good chance of exceeding 7.5.