Prediction for match Sweden — Slovenia

Match Analysis: Sweden vs Slovenia

In the World Cup - Qualification Europe, Sweden and Slovenia will face off. Sweden is favored with odds of 1.53 for a win, which translates to a 61.07% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 4.00 (23.36%), and Slovenia's win is at 6.00 (15.57%). Both teams play on November 18, 2025, and this match is attracting attention not only because of the tournament's status but also due to the statistical characteristics of both teams. The initial odds on Over 2.5 goals are 2.00, while Under 2.5 goals are at 1.80, indicating moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sweden has an average ball possession of 55.6%, with 2 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Slovenia's stats are more modest: 44.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1 offside. Sweden's last three matches: November 15, 2025, Switzerland 4-1 Sweden, October 13, 2025, Sweden 0-1 Kosovo, October 10, 2025, Sweden 0-2 Switzerland. Slovenia's last three: November 15, 2025, Slovenia 0-2 Kosovo, October 13, 2025, Slovenia 0-0 Switzerland, October 10, 2025, Kosovo 0-0 Slovenia. In their head-to-head on September 5, 2025, Slovenia and Sweden drew 2-2, with the total over 2.5 goals. The previous two encounters ended 1-1 and 0-2, respectively.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Sweden averages 2.8 total goals per game, with 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded. Slovenia averages 1.8 total goals, with 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in two of their last five matches, with under results in three. By halves, Sweden has over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 first halves and 3 out of 5 second halves. Slovenia hit over 1.5 goals only once in both the first and second halves. Interval-wise, Sweden scores most frequently between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Slovenia scores between 31-45 minutes (40%). Sweden concedes most between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), while Slovenia concedes most between 61-75 minutes (50%). Given the relatively low scoring and weak attacking stats, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.80 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Sweden takes 5.6 corners per match, Slovenia 2.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for Sweden, and 1 out of 5 for Slovenia. Odds for over 9 corners are at 1.92, and under 9 at 1.88. Sweden is expected to win the corner count with odds of 1.30. Considering the difference in average corners and the frequency of high totals, betting on Sweden's individual corner total over 5.5 at 1.73 seems justified. Meanwhile, the overall corner total in the 8-9 range appears optimal for this match.