Prediction for match Sydney — Melbourne Victory, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Sydney vs Melbourne Victory

On November 22, Sydney and Melbourne Victory will face off in the A-League. Sydney is the favorite with odds of 2.07 to win, while Melbourne Victory is at 3.18, and a draw is priced at 3.70. According to the percentage distribution, Sydney has a 45.24% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 29.45%, and a draw 25.31%. Sydney is considered the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't too large, promising a competitive battle for points. This reflects the current balance of power.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sydney has averaged 49.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Melbourne Victory, on the other hand, has 49.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three games, Sydney defeated Macarthur 2-0 (09.11.2025), Newcastle Jets 4-1 (01.11.2025), and Central Coast Mariners 2-0 (25.10.2025). Melbourne Victory lost to Melbourne City 0-2 (08.11.2025), beat Perth Glory 2-0 (31.10.2025), and lost to Newcastle Jets 2-5 (24.10.2025). In their last head-to-head on January 24, 2025, Melbourne Victory won 2-0, with the total under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Sydney's games average 3.6 goals, scoring 2 and conceding 1.6. Melbourne Victory averages 2.4 goals per game, scoring only 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Sydney has seen the total over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Melbourne Victory only in 1 out of 5. In the first half, Sydney has 2 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5, and Melbourne Victory 1 out of 5. In the second halves, Sydney has 5 out of 5 over 1.5, and Melbourne Victory 1 out of 5. Sydney most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while Melbourne Victory scores early (0-15 minutes, 33%) and late (76-90, 33%). Sydney concedes more often in the second half: between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (33% each). Melbourne Victory is most vulnerable between 46-60 minutes (50%). A high-scoring game is not expected: Melbourne Victory has a low scoring rate, with their total over 2.5 occurring only once in 5 games. Considering Melbourne Victory's average scoring and Sydney's strong second-half performances, a bet on Melbourne Victory's individual total under 1.5 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Sydney averages 4.6 corners per match, while Melbourne Victory averages 4. In five matches, Sydney's total corners over 9.5 occurred twice, while Melbourne Victory had none. The line for total corners over 9.5 is at 1.51, under 9.5 at 2.29. Sydney is favored in corners with odds of 1.69. Given the statistics, a bet on total corners under 9.5 or Sydney to win on corners seems logical, as neither team stands out in this aspect, and only Sydney shows consistency here.