Prediction for match Telstar — AZ Alkmaar, 25.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Dutch Eredivisie on January 25, Telstar will face AZ Alkmaar. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Telstar win - 4.22, draw - 4.16, AZ Alkmaar win - 1.77. Based on current form and statistics, the probabilities are distributed as follows: 22.73% for a Telstar win, 23.06% for a draw, and 54.20% for an AZ Alkmaar win. AZ Alkmaar is the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and the percentage distribution. This reflects the bookmakers' confidence in AZ Alkmaar's attacking potential and their ability to control the game. However, Telstar is not seen as a clear underdog by the numbers, which adds intrigue to the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at possession, discipline, and activity stats for the last five matches. Telstar averaged 38.4% possession, 1.2 warnings, 9.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. AZ Alkmaar averaged 53.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In the last three matches, Telstar played as follows: January 17 - Excelsior 2-2 Telstar, January 14 - Almere City 1-3 Telstar, January 11 - Telstar 2-3 Ajax. AZ Alkmaar's last three matches: January 21 - AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Excelsior, January 17 - Zwolle 3-1 AZ Alkmaar, January 14 - AZ Alkmaar 6-0 Ajax. In their last head-to-head on October 5, 2025, AZ Alkmaar won 2-1 against Telstar.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown high scoring in recent matches. Over the last five games, Telstar averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, with a total of 3.6 goals per match. AZ Alkmaar's figures are even higher: 2.4 goals scored, 1.6 conceded, and 4 goals per game on average. For over 2.5 goals, Telstar had 4 out of 5, AZ Alkmaar had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Telstar had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, AZ Alkmaar had 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams regularly played over 1.5: Telstar 4 out of 5, AZ Alkmaar also 4 out of 5. Telstar most often scored between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while AZ Alkmaar scored in two intervals: 0-15 and 76-90 (27% each). For goals conceded, Telstar stood out in the 0-15 and 46-60 intervals (27% each), and AZ Alkmaar in the 16-30 and 61-75 intervals (33% each). Based on this data, the match promises to be high-scoring, and a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.59 looks justified: both teams consistently score and concede, and the dynamics by halves and intervals support a choice for high scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Telstar averaged 5.2 corners per match, and AZ Alkmaar 6. For over 9.5 corners, Telstar had 4 out of 5 matches, AZ Alkmaar had 2 out of 5. Looking at the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.2) is 11.5. For this total, the odds are: over 11.5 - 2.56, under 11.5 - 1.41. In terms of corners outcome, AZ Alkmaar is the favorite with odds of 1.61. Considering the activity of both teams on corner kicks, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 11.5, especially given Telstar's high average performance in this indicator. It's also worth noting the individual corner stats for both teams, with Telstar consistently above 5, and AZ Alkmaar around 6 per game.