Prediction for match Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Shanghai Shenhua, 22.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On November 22, in the Chinese Super League, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will face Shanghai Shenhua. According to the outcome percentages, the visitors have a significant advantage: Shanghai Shenhua's win is at 63.82%, a draw is at 21.08%, and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is only at 15.10%. The odds for a Shanghai Shenhua victory are 1.50, a draw is at 4.54, and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is at 6.34. In this matchup, the favorite is clear by all key metrics, and the bookmakers give the hosts little chance of causing an upset. The logical main bet is on a Shanghai Shenhua win at 1.50.

Team Form and Secondary Statistics

Over the last five matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has an average possession of 48.8%, with 2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Shanghai Shenhua's stats are slightly better: 53.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's last three matches: November 1 - Shandong Taishan 2-1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, October 25 - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2-2 Changchun Yatai, October 18 - Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. Shanghai Shenhua's last three matches: November 5 - Johor Darul Ta'zim 3-1 Shanghai Shenhua, October 31 - Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 Sichuan Jiuniu, October 26 - Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Dalian Yifang. In their last head-to-head on June 25, 2025, Shanghai Shenhua defeated Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3-0 - the total over 2.5 hit.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last 5 games, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a total over 2.5 in 2 matches, under in 3. Shanghai Shenhua had over 2.5 in 3 out of 5 matches. In the first halves, both teams had 2 instances of over 1.5 goals. In the second halves, also 2 out of 5 were over 1.5. The average number of goals per match is 2.2 for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and 2.8 for Shanghai Shenhua. On average, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scores 1 goal, while Shanghai Shenhua scores 1.6. They concede: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - 1.2, Shanghai Shenhua - 1.2. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger most frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Shanghai Shenhua scores mainly in 76-90 (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has an even distribution in the intervals 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 (33% each), while Shanghai Shenhua concedes mainly in 16-30 (40%). In this scenario, betting on a Shanghai Shenhua win seems most justified: the team consistently scores and has a clear advantage in average scoring and chance conversion.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Regarding average corners, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger takes 2.6 per game, while Shanghai Shenhua takes 5.8. In the last 5 games, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a total over 9.5 corners 2 times, while Shanghai Shenhua did so 4 times. The total corners over 9 is at 1.51, under 9 is at 2.35. In the outcome for corners, the favorite is Shanghai Shenhua (1.20). The statistics confirm Shanghai Shenhua's clear superiority in wing play, and bets on total corners over 9 or a win for the visitors in corners seem most logical.