Prediction for match Tigre — America de Cali

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Sudamericana tournament on May 1, Tigre will face America de Cali. Bookmakers have set Tigre's odds of winning at 1.90, which translates to a 49.04% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 3.16 (29.49%), while America de Cali's win stands at 4.34 (21.47%). Tigre is considered the favorite, but the odds are not overwhelmingly in their favor. The total goals market is also intriguing: under 2.5 goals is at 1.44, while over 1.5 goals is at 1.51. Both teams to score: no is priced at 1.61, yes at 2.18. For individual team totals, Tigre is at 1.47 for over 1 goal, and America de Cali is at 1.78 for over 0.5 goals. Overall, the odds suggest a low-scoring game with Tigre having the edge.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tigre has averaged 46% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. America de Cali averages 52.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Recent results for Tigre: April 25 Atletico Sarmiento - Tigre 1-0, April 21 Tigre - Huracan 1-1, April 16 Tigre - Macara 0-1. For America de Cali: April 25 Deportivo Cali - America de Cali 1-0, April 23 Fortaleza CEIF - America de Cali 1-2, April 20 America de Cali - Millonarios 3-1. There are no recent head-to-head results between these teams. Notably, Tigre has higher averages for yellow cards and fouls over their last five matches compared to their opponent, but lower possession.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Tigre vs America de Cali

In their last five games, Tigre has not exceeded the total of over 2.5 goals - 0 out of 5 for over, 5 out of 5 for under. America de Cali shows the opposite trend: 3 out of 5 for over 2.5 goals and 2 out of 5 for under. By halves, Tigre has 0 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second. America de Cali has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. The average total goals for Tigre over 5 games is 1.2, while for America de Cali it is 2.6. Tigre scores an average of 0.4 and concedes 0.8, whereas America de Cali scores 1.6 and concedes 1. In terms of goal intervals: Tigre most frequently scores and concedes in the periods 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (33% each), while America de Cali scores most frequently in the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), and concedes most in the 16-30 (40%). All this indicates a tendency for a low-scoring game from Tigre, despite America de Cali's more prolific scoring profile. The main prediction is under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.44.

Corner Bets

On average, over the last five matches, Tigre has 3.8 corners, and America de Cali has 2.6. In their last five matches, Tigre has only once exceeded a total of over 9.5 corners, while America de Cali has not. Considering a total corners line of 8, the odds for over 8 are 1.99, and under 8 are also 1.99. Tigre is favored in corners with odds of 1.62. Given the average stats of both teams and the rare occurrence of high corner totals in recent games, a low number of corners is expected.