Prediction for match Tigres UANL — Cruz Azul

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Mexican Liga MX on December 7, 2025, Tigres UANL will face Cruz Azul. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Tigres UANL's victory is at 1.91, a draw is priced at 3.45, and a win for Cruz Azul is offered at 3.84. According to probability percentages, Tigres UANL has a 48.76% chance of winning, the draw is at 26.99%, and Cruz Azul has 24.25%. These figures reflect a moderate advantage for Tigres UANL over their opponent, though Cruz Azul is capable of pulling a surprise.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Tigres UANL drew 1-1 with Cruz Azul (04.12.2025), thrashed Tijuana 5-0 (30.11.2025), and lost to Tijuana 0-3 (27.11.2025). Cruz Azul, in their last three encounters, recorded a 1-1 draw with Tigres UANL (04.12.2025), defeated Guadalajara 3-2 (01.12.2025), and played a 0-0 draw with Guadalajara (28.11.2025). Over a five-match series, Tigres UANL averages 53.8% possession, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 15.4 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides. Cruz Azul averages 51.6% possession, 2.4 yellows, 11 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head ended in a 1-1 draw (04.12.2025).

Team Goal Scoring Trends

Both teams show an attacking profile in terms of scoring. Over a five-match series, Tigres UANL has an average total of 3.2 goals per match, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2. Cruz Azul has averages of 3 and 1.8 respectively, also conceding 1.2. Both teams have 3 out of 5 matches going over 2.5 goals, confirming a tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, whereas in the second half, this figure is significantly higher at 4 out of 5 for both sides. For goal intervals, Tigres UANL's most frequent period is 61-75 minutes (29%), while Cruz Azul has two: 0-15 and 76-90 (33% each). For conceded goals, Tigres UANL often allows goals between 61-75 minutes (67%), and Cruz Azul in the final 76-90 (40%). This timing and interval profile suggests high scoring, especially after the break. Considering both teams' average scoring and frequent over 2.5 total goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems logical for this match.

Analysis of Total Corners

Over five matches, Tigres UANL averages 4.6 corners, Cruz Azul 4.8. For totals over 9.5 corners: Tigres UANL has 2 out of 5 over, Cruz Azul has 3 out of 5. The closest total with odds is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.87, under 9.5 also at 1.87. In the corners market, Tigres UANL is favored with odds of 1.67. Considering both teams' average activity in corner kicks and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, though under 9.5 is also possible - the teams show moderately high figures in this component.