Prediction for match Tigres UANL — Guadalajara

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

On April 11th in Liga MX, Tigres UANL will face Guadalajara. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Tigres UANL is priced at 2.45, a draw at 3.22, and a win for Guadalajara at 2.77. The probability percentages are as follows: Tigres UANL - 37.80%, draw - 28.76%, Guadalajara - 33.44%. These numbers indicate that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, though Tigres UANL has a slight edge. The betting lines also offer markets on totals, both teams to score, individual performances, and double chance, allowing for an optimal betting choice for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Tigres UANL played as follows: April 9 against Seattle Sounders - 2-0, April 4 against Tijuana - 0-1, March 23 against Juárez - 1-2. Guadalajara's last three results were: April 6 against UNAM Pumas - 2-2, March 22 against Monterrey - 3-2, March 19 against León - 5-0. Over a five-match span, Tigres UANL averages 57.8% possession, earns 3.4 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and has 1.6 offsides per game. Guadalajara's averages are: 61.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on September 18, 2025, Guadalajara and Tigres UANL played to a 0-0 draw. This data shows both teams can control the ball and engage in physical play, with Guadalajara committing fewer fouls and receiving fewer bookings.

How Many Goals in Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Match

Guadalajara stands out in terms of scoring: in a five-match series, they average 3 goals per game, with a total of 4 goals in matches involving them. Tigres UANL's averages are more modest - 1.6 goals scored and a total of 2.4. In their last five matches, Guadalajara's games all went over 2.5 goals, while Tigres UANL saw this outcome twice. By halves, Guadalajara had 4 out of 5 matches go over 1.5 goals in the second half, while Tigres UANL had 2 out of 5. In the first half, both teams had 2 matches go over 1.5 goals in 5 games. Guadalajara most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Tigres UANL scores between the 46th and 60th and the 76th and 90th minutes (27% each). Tigres UANL concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%) and between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%), while Guadalajara concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). This profile suggests Guadalajara's high scoring and regular second-half goals, as confirmed by the over 2.5 goals in their matches. Considering Guadalajara's attacking power and Tigres UANL's decent statistics, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.82 is logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Tigres UANL earns 5.4 corners per match, while Guadalajara earns 5.8. In a five-match series, Tigres UANL's matches exceeded 9.5 corners 3 times, and Guadalajara's 2 times. Considering the nearest total for corners, the combined average of both teams is 11.2, and the line offers odds on over 9.5 corners: over 9.5 - 1.65, under 9.5 - 2.10. This level suggests expecting at least 10 corners in this match. In individual corner stats, both teams consistently exceed 5 per game, confirming their flank activity and frequent attack conclusions with crosses. Overall, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given both teams' attacking style and corner statistics.