Prediction for match Tigres UANL — Guadalajara

Odds and Outcome Probability

In Liga MX on May 3rd, Tigres UANL will face Guadalajara. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.18 for a Tigres UANL win, 3.30 for a draw, and 3.22 for a Guadalajara victory. The probability percentages are as follows: Tigres UANL - 42.78%, draw - 28.26%, Guadalajara - 28.96%. Tigres UANL holds a slight edge according to the odds, but the difference is not significant, suggesting a potentially hard-fought match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Tigres UANL played as follows: 29.04.2026 - Nashville vs Tigres UANL - 0-1, 25.04.2026 - Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan - 5-1, 23.04.2026 - Atlas vs Tigres UANL - 0-0. Guadalajara's recent results are: 26.04.2026 - Guadalajara vs Tijuana - 0-0, 23.04.2026 - Necaxa vs Guadalajara - 0-0, 19.04.2026 - Guadalajara vs Puebla - 5-0. On average over five matches, Tigres UANL has 53% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 9 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times. Guadalajara boasts even higher possession at 65.6%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 11.04.2026, Tigres UANL defeated Guadalajara 4-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The average number of goals in Tigres UANL's last five matches is 2.6, while Guadalajara's is 2.8. Both teams score an average of 1.6 goals per match, with Tigres UANL conceding 1.0 and Guadalajara 1.2. In a series of five matches, Tigres UANL had over 2.5 goals twice, under three times. Guadalajara had over 2.5 goals three times, under twice. In first halves, Tigres UANL exceeded 1.5 goals once, Guadalajara three times. In second halves, Tigres UANL had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Guadalajara in 3 out of 5. Both teams most frequently score between the 76th and 90th minutes: Tigres UANL at 33%, Guadalajara at 36%. Tigres UANL concedes most in the 31-45 and 76-90 intervals (50% each), while Guadalajara is vulnerable in the 16-30 minute range (67%). Given the average scoring, regular over 2.5 totals for both sides, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.89 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Tigres UANL and Guadalajara each average 6 corners per match. Over five matches, Tigres UANL had over 9.5 corners twice, Guadalajara once. Odds for total corners are over 9.5 at 1.90, under 9.5 at 1.79. Tigres UANL is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.89. While a high number of corners isn't expected, both teams can maintain a high tempo and create chances, which could lead to 9-10 corner kicks. In this scenario, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, though 8-9 corners are also possible.