Prediction for match Tigres UANL — Necaxa, 18.10.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On October 18, a Liga MX match will take place in Mexico between Tigres UANL and Necaxa. According to the 1X2 odds, Tigres UANL has odds of 1.55, corresponding to a 60.57% probability, whereas a draw is set at 4.20 (22.35%), and a win for Necaxa is at 5.50 (17.07%). This clearly indicates that bookmakers see Tigres UANL as the favorite in this clash. The double chance option Home/Draw is offered at 1.14, further confirming the home side's advantage in the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tigres UANL has shown defensive solidity, conceding an average of just 0.4 goals while scoring 1.2 goals per game. Recent results include a 1-1 draw against Cruz Azul (05.10.2025), a 2-0 win over Atlas (25.09.2025), and a 2-0 victory against Querétaro (28.09.2025). Necaxa, on the other hand, has been less consistent during the same period, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their recent matches include a 0-1 loss to Pachuca (04.10.2025), a 2-3 defeat to Atlas (27.09.2025), a 1-3 loss to Guadalajara (24.09.2025), a narrow 1-0 win over Puebla (20.09.2025), and a 1-1 draw with Juárez (13.09.2025). In head-to-head encounters: 2-2 (12.05.2025), 0-0 (09.05.2025), 1-2 (02.03.2025), and a big 5-2 win for Tigres UANL (21.04.2024).

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Tigres UANL hasn't seen any games exceed a total of 2.5 goals, while Necaxa has had this outcome in 2 out of 5. On average, Tigres UANL's games produce 1.6 goals, and Necaxa's 2.6. In the first half, Tigres UANL never surpassed 1.5 goals, whereas Necaxa did so 2 times out of 5. Second halves are more productive: Tigres UANL had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and Necaxa in 2 out of 5. In terms of timing, Tigres UANL most frequently scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), and concedes most often in the final 76th-90th minutes (50%). Necaxa's most common scoring interval is the 31st-45th minutes (38%), while they concede most often between the 46th-60th minutes (40%).

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners for Tigres UANL over recent games is 6.2, and for Necaxa, it's 4.4. For total corners over 9.5, both teams have had 3 occurrences out of 5. The match offers a total corners over 9.5 at 1.82 and under 9.5 at 1.98. In the corners competition, the favorite is Tigres UANL (1.36).