Prediction for match Tigres UANL — Pachuca

Match Analysis: Tigres UANL vs Pachuca

On February 21, in Liga MX, Tigres UANL will face Pachuca. The odds favor Tigres UANL as the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.59, a draw at 3.94, and a Pachuca win at 5.24. In terms of probability, it's 58.58% for Tigres UANL, 23.64% for a draw, and 17.78% for Pachuca. This reflects the bookmakers' confidence in Tigres UANL's strength, especially given their recent scoring streak and consistent performances. While Pachuca is not without hope, they lag in most key metrics.

Team Statistics and Scores

Let's look at additional team stats from the last five matches. Tigres UANL shows a high ball possession rate of 65%, averaging 1.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Pachuca falls short in these areas: possession - 44%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 14.8, offsides - 0.6. In their last three matches, Tigres UANL played as follows: February 15, 2026, Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 2-1, February 11, 2026, Tigres UANL - Forge 4-1, February 7, 2026, Tigres UANL - Santos Laguna 5-1. Pachuca's recent results are: February 14, 2026, Pachuca - Atlas 3-1, February 8, 2026, Pachuca - Juárez 2-0, February 1, 2026, Querétaro - Pachuca 0-0. In their last head-to-head, on October 23, 2025, Pachuca - Tigres UANL 1-2.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Match

In terms of scoring, Tigres UANL significantly outperforms their opponent: over five matches, they average 2.4 goals per game, conceding 1, with an overall average total of 3.4. Pachuca's figures are more modest - 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, with an average total of 1.8. In a five-match series, Tigres UANL's total over 2.5 occurred 4 times, while Pachuca's did so 2 times. By halves, Tigres UANL had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 times, and in the first half once. Pachuca had over 1.5 in the second half 2 times, and once in the first half. Tigres UANL most frequently scores between the 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (25% each), while Pachuca scores most often between the 31st-45th minutes (43%). In terms of goals conceded, Tigres UANL stands out in the 46th-60th minute interval (40%), while Pachuca concedes most in the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each). Given Tigres UANL's high scoring rate, regular over 2.5 totals, and consistent second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Tigres UANL averages 5.2 per match, while Pachuca averages 3.4. In the last five games, Tigres UANL's total corners over 9.5 hit 3 times, and Pachuca's hit 2 times. The closest to the average total is 8.5, with both options available: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.51, under 8.5 at 2.38. Tigres UANL is the favorite in corner betting with odds of 1.41. Considering the average corner activity and the frequency of totals over 9.5, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical for this match.