Prediction for match Tigres UANL — Toluca, 12.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on December 12, Tigres UANL will face Toluca. The odds for a Tigres UANL win are 2.09, a draw is priced at 3.32, and a Toluca victory is at 3.41. The probabilities for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Tigres UANL - 44.59%, draw - 28.07%, Toluca - 27.33%. Based on these figures, Tigres UANL is considered the more likely winner, but the difference between the teams isn't overwhelming. The odds also indicate a moderate chance for a draw, as shown by the relatively close odds for a draw and a Toluca win.

Recent Match Performances

In their last five matches, Tigres UANL had the following results: December 7 - Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul 1-1, December 4 - Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL 1-1, November 30 - Tigres UANL vs Tijuana 5-0. During the same period, Toluca played as follows: December 7 - Toluca vs Monterrey 3-2, December 4 - Monterrey vs Toluca 1-0, November 30 - Toluca vs Juárez 0-0. In their last head-to-head meeting on July 27, 2025, Toluca and Tigres UANL ended 3-4. Additionally, over the last five matches, Tigres UANL averages 52.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Toluca averages 53.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Tigres UANL averages 3.2 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2 per match. Toluca's average total goals per game is 2.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. Regarding over/under totals: Tigres UANL had 3 out of 5 games over 2.5, Toluca had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Tigres UANL had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Toluca had 1 out of 5. However, in the second half, Tigres UANL shows maximum scoring with 5 out of 5 over 1.5, Toluca had 2 out of 5. Tigres UANL most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 61-75 minute marks (29% each), and concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (50%). Toluca's most productive period is 31-45 minutes (43%), while conceded goals are distributed between the 46-60 and 61-75 minute marks (50% each). Considering Tigres UANL's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and consistent second-half goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Tigres UANL averages 5.6 corners per match, Toluca - 6.2. In five matches, both teams had 3 out of 5 games over 9.5 corners. The line for total corners closest to the sum of average values is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.12, under 11.5 at 1.29. For corners outcome, Tigres UANL is favored with odds of 1.64. Given the average activity of both teams in corner kicks and frequent high totals, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners or individual totals, as well as Tigres UANL's advantage in corners.