Prediction for match Tokyo Verdy — FC Tokyo

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the J1 League match between Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo on March 22, 2026, bookmakers have pegged FC Tokyo as the favorite. The odds for an FC Tokyo victory are set at 2.05, with a probability of 45.67%. A draw is priced at 3.10 (30.20%), while a win for Tokyo Verdy is at 3.88 (24.13%). This setup reflects FC Tokyo's advantage in probabilities and odds, supported by recent match statistics. For total goals, under 2.5 is offered at 1.54, while over 2.5 is at 2.42. Betting on both teams to score: yes is at 2.06, no at 1.68. For individual team totals, FC Tokyo to score over 1 is at 1.60, and Tokyo Verdy to score over 0.5 is at 1.59. For half-time totals, over 1.5 goals in the second half is at 2.53, under is at 1.46. Exact score options are 0:1 (5.00), 1:1 (5.50), 0:0 (6.25), 1:0 (7.50), 0:2 (7.50), 1:2 (8.00).

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tokyo Verdy averages 47.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. FC Tokyo is slightly more active with 49.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three games, Tokyo Verdy lost to Kawasaki Frontale 0-2 (March 18, 2026), defeated Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 (March 14, 2026), and lost to Kashima Antlers 0-2 (March 7, 2026). FC Tokyo, on the other hand, beat JEF United Chiba 2-1 (March 18, 2026), had a high-scoring game against Mito Hollyhock 7-6 (March 14, 2026), and defeated Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 (March 7, 2026). In their most recent head-to-head on September 15, 2025, FC Tokyo won 1-0 against Tokyo Verdy.

How Many Goals to Expect?

On average over the last 5 matches, Tokyo Verdy sees 2.8 goals per game, while FC Tokyo sees 2.6. Tokyo Verdy scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.8, while FC Tokyo scores 1.6 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals, Tokyo Verdy had 2 out of 5 matches, and FC Tokyo had 3. Both teams had more than 1.5 goals in the first half twice, with Tokyo Verdy having it twice in the second half and FC Tokyo three times. Tokyo Verdy most frequently scores in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each), while FC Tokyo distributes its goals evenly across all intervals (17% each). Tokyo Verdy concedes most often in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while FC Tokyo concedes in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 intervals (29% each). This profile suggests a moderately scoring match, with FC Tokyo's strong defense and Tokyo Verdy's lower scoring rate. Given that neither team consistently surpasses the over 2.5 goals mark, and Tokyo Verdy averages just 1 goal scored, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.54 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Tokyo Verdy averages 3.8 corners per match, while FC Tokyo averages 4.6. Over the last 5 games, Tokyo Verdy had over 9.5 corners 3 times, and FC Tokyo once. Odds for over 9.5 corners are at 1.77, under 9.5 at 1.92. FC Tokyo is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.64. Expect 8-10 corners, with a slight edge in activity for FC Tokyo. FC Tokyo's higher average in corners could impact the final stats. Overall, a bet on total corners closer to 9-10 is justified, with FC Tokyo expected to lead in corner outcomes.