Prediction for match Toluca — Atletico San Luis

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Match Analysis

On April 13, in Liga MX, Toluca will face Atletico San Luis. The betting odds indicate a clear advantage for Toluca: their victory is priced at 1.33, a draw at 5.10, and a win for Atletico San Luis at 8.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Toluca - 70.08%, draw - 18.27%, Atletico San Luis - 11.65%. This reflects not only Toluca's status but also their consistency in recent matches. Among the totals, the most interesting bet is on Over 2.75 at 1.57 - this option is supported by both scoring statistics and the scoring profiles of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Toluca has shown a high ball possession rate of 64, while averaging 1.8 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Atletico San Luis lags in ball possession at 45.2 but is slightly higher in yellow cards (2.8) and fouls (10.6). In the last three matches, Toluca played as follows: April 9 - Toluca vs Los Angeles Galaxy - 4-2, April 4 - Queretaro vs Toluca - 1-0, March 22 - Pachuca vs Toluca - 1-1. Atletico San Luis played their last three matches as follows: April 4 - Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis - 1-2, March 22 - Atletico San Luis vs Leon - 1-2, March 14 - Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on August 30, 2025, Atletico San Luis lost to Toluca 1-3.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Toluca vs Atletico San Luis

Over the last five matches, Toluca averages 3 goals per game, while Atletico San Luis averages 3.2. In terms of goals scored: Toluca - 2, Atletico San Luis - 1.6. In terms of goals conceded: both teams have 1 and 1.6 respectively. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Toluca, and 4 out of 5 for Atletico San Luis. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in 5 matches for both teams, and in the second half, 3 times in 5 matches for both. This suggests more activity after the break. In terms of goal intervals: Toluca most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (36%), while Atletico San Luis evenly distributes their goals between the 16th and 90th minutes (20% in each of the five intervals). Goals conceded by both teams most often occur towards the end (76th-90th minutes - 50%). The overall goal and total statistics suggest a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, especially in the second half. The Over 2.75 at 1.57 seems a logical choice: both teams have a high scoring profile, and Atletico San Luis often participates in matches with three or more goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Toluca averages 5.2 corners per game, while Atletico San Luis averages 4.4. In the last 5 matches, Toluca's over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times, while Atletico San Luis's occurred 2 times. When considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of average values (9.6) is 9.5. For this total, the odds are: over 9.5 - 1.89, under 9.5 - 1.85. Toluca is the favorite in terms of corner outcomes with odds of 1.28. Based on the average activity of both teams in delivering corners, the bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Toluca's regularity in hitting this mark.