Prediction for match Toluca — Club America, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Toluca vs Club America

On November 9, Toluca will face Club America in Liga MX. The odds for a Toluca win are 2.25, for a Club America victory - 3.00, and for a draw - 3.60. The probability breakdown is as follows: 42.11% for a Toluca win, 26.32% for a draw, and 31.58% for a Club America victory. These percentages reflect a moderate advantage for Toluca, but Club America also has a considerable chance for a positive result. Both teams come into this match in decent form, as evidenced by recent game statistics and the evenly distributed odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Toluca has an average ball possession of 59.4%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 3.4 offsides per game. Club America lags slightly in possession (55.4%) but is more disciplined with 8.4 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 1 yellow card on average. Toluca's last three matches: 01.11 Atlas - Toluca 0-0, 27.10 Toluca - Pachuca 2-2, 23.10 Tijuana - Toluca 0-0. Club America's recent games: 02.11 Club America - Leon 2-0, 25.10 Mazatlan - Club America 2-2, 22.10 Club America - Puebla 2-1. In their head-to-head on 21.07, Club America - Toluca 1-3, the total over 2.5 goals was achieved, while the match on 26.05 Toluca - Club America 2-0 stayed under 2.5 goals.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five games, Toluca has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Club America averages 3. In terms of over 2.5 goals frequency: Toluca achieved it 3 out of 5 times, Club America 4 out of 5. In the first half, Toluca had over 1.5 goals 3 times, Club America 2; in the second half, Toluca only once, Club America 3 times. Toluca scores an average of 2 and concedes 0.8 goals per game, while Club America scores 2 and concedes 1. Toluca most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (38%), and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Club America most often scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (36%), and concedes evenly across four intervals at 25% each. All these indicators suggest a high potential for goals, and it makes sense to consider a bet on both teams to score: yes, given that both teams have an average of 2 goals per game, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is high.

Corner Bets

In their last five matches, Toluca averages 4.8 corners, while Club America averages 7.2. In terms of over 9.5 corners frequency, Toluca achieved it only 1 out of 5 times, while Club America did so 3 out of 5. The line for corners: over 9.5 is priced at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.80. Toluca is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.80. Considering Club America's high average and Toluca's moderate activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems interesting, although Toluca has achieved it less frequently. Additionally, both teams have average figures for offsides and yellow cards, which could affect the game's dynamics and the number of corners.