Prediction for match Toluca — Queretaro, 19.10.2025

Who is the favorite in the Toluca vs. Queretaro match?

On October 18, 2025, a Liga MX match will take place between Toluca and Queretaro. The 1X2 odds highlight Toluca as the clear favorite: 1.20 for their win, 7.00 for a draw, and 13.00 for a Queretaro victory. The probabilities are: 79.13% for a Toluca win, 13.57% for a draw, and 7.3% for Queretaro. These numbers reflect a high level of confidence in Toluca for this match.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Toluca has impressive stats: averaging 3.8 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, with a total match average of 5. Queretaro, over the same period, has 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with an overall total of 2.6. Recent Toluca games include a 4-2 win against Leon (05.10.2025), and a 6-2 victory over Monterrey (25.09.2025). For Queretaro: a 3-1 win over Puebla (04.10.2025), and a 0-2 loss to Tigres UANL (28.09.2025). In head-to-head encounters, Toluca has won three of the last five matches, including a 5-0 thrashing (27.02.2025) and a 3-1 win (08.10.2023) against Queretaro, with a 2-2 draw (13.01.2024), and Queretaro's 1-0 victory (06.03.2023).

How many goals to expect?

Regarding totals, in Toluca's last five matches, the over 2.5 goals bet hit 5 out of 5 times, while for Queretaro, it was 2 over and 3 under. Toluca's average total is 5, and Queretaro's is 2.6. In the first half, Toluca saw over 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times, and in the second half, 4 out of 5 times. For Queretaro, it was 2 over and 3 under in both halves. The most frequent goal interval for Toluca is the 31-45 minute mark (29%), and for Queretaro, it's the 76-90 minute mark (50%). Toluca concedes most often in three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each), while Queretaro concedes in the 16-30 and 31-45 intervals (38% each).

Corner statistics

Toluca averages 4.8 corners per game, while Queretaro averages 2.4. For total corners over 9.5, Toluca hit this mark in two out of five matches, and Queretaro in three out of five. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 1.92, and under 9.5 is 1.88. Toluca is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.12.