Prediction for match Toluca — Cruz Azul, 08.02.2026

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Match Analysis

In Liga MX, on February 7th, Toluca will face Cruz Azul. According to the 1X2 odds, Toluca is the favorite with odds of 1.74 for a win, 3.66 for a draw, and Cruz Azul's victory is at 4.43. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Toluca win - 53.53%, draw - 25.45%, Cruz Azul win - 21.02%. This setup reflects Toluca's advantage according to bookmakers' expectations, but Cruz Azul has been showing a strong performance in recent matches, adding intrigue to the upcoming clash. Attention should also be paid to the totals, as both teams have interesting goal stats and are active in the second half.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Toluca has an average possession of 59.2%, with 3.2 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Cruz Azul maintains 58% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 14.8 fouls, and has 2.2 offsides. In their last three games, Toluca played as follows: January 31 - Puebla - Toluca 0-0, January 15 - Toluca - Santos Laguna 3-1, January 11 - Monterrey - Toluca 0-1. Cruz Azul in their last three encounters: February 5 - Vancouver FC - Cruz Azul 0-3, January 31 - Juarez - Cruz Azul 3-4, January 18 - Cruz Azul - Puebla 1-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on August 24, 2025: Cruz Azul - Toluca 1-0.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

Over five matches, Toluca averages 1.8 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. Cruz Azul is noticeably more prolific: 3.2 goals on average, with 2.2 scored and 1 conceded. In terms of over 2.5 goals, Toluca has 2 out of 5, and Cruz Azul has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Toluca has only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, while Cruz Azul has 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals. For goal intervals: Toluca most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (71%), Cruz Azul between the 76th and 90th minute (38%). In terms of goals conceded, Toluca distributes them evenly across four intervals, while Cruz Azul concedes more often at the beginning, end of the first half, and middle of the second. This data indicates a high probability of both teams scoring: both teams regularly find the net, Cruz Azul has an attacking profile, and Toluca is solid in defense but not flawless. The Both Teams to Score: Yes bet is supported by the fact that both teams have average goals scored over 1, and Cruz Azul's over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches. The odds for both teams scoring: yes - 1.61.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for both teams over five matches is 6.6. For over 9.5 corners, Toluca has 2 out of 5, Cruz Azul 1 out of 5. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the sum of the averages (13.2) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is at 3.50, under 11.5 is at 1.22. The line 9.5 is also noteworthy: over 9.5 - 1.96, under 9.5 - 1.70. For the outcome on corners, the favorite is Toluca with odds of 1.41. It is logical to expect active wing play and a high number of corners, considering the attacking style of both teams and their recent match statistics. In this situation, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, and a win for Toluca on corners can also be considered.