Prediction for match Toluca — Juarez, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Toluca vs Juarez

The Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez is scheduled for November 30. The odds are set at 1.37 for a Toluca win, 4.95 for a draw, and 7.11 for a Juarez victory. In percentage terms: Toluca - 68.05%, draw - 18.83%, Juarez - 13.11%. Toluca enters the match as the clear favorite, but recent goal statistics from both teams suggest a competitive game. A bet on both teams to score seems appealing at odds of 1.62.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last 5 matches, Toluca has averaged 57.8% possession, while Juarez has 48%. In terms of cards: Toluca averages 1.6, Juarez 3.4. Fouls are recorded at 12.8 for Toluca and 14.8 for Juarez, with offsides at 2.6 against 0.8. Recent matches for Toluca: 27.11.2025 - Juarez - Toluca - 1-2, 09.11.2025 - Toluca - Club America - 2-0, 01.11.2025 - Atlas - Toluca - 0-0. For Juarez: 27.11.2025 - Juarez - Toluca - 1-2, 24.11.2025 - Juarez - Pachuca - 2-1, 21.11.2025 - Tijuana - Juarez - 3-1. In their last head-to-head on November 27, Toluca won 2-1, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved. Previous encounters also frequently resulted in high-scoring outcomes.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Toluca has averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, with an average match total of 1.8. Juarez has higher averages: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded, total of 3.2. For matches going over 2.5 goals: Toluca 2 out of 5, Juarez 5 out of 5. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred once for Toluca and three times for Juarez, similarly in the second half: once for Toluca, three times for Juarez. This indicates Juarez's tendency for high-scoring games, while Toluca maintains a solid defense. Goal intervals: Toluca often scores in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Juarez spreads goals across three intervals (0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 with 25% each). In terms of goals conceded: Toluca concedes half in the 46-60 minute range, Juarez concedes 25% at the start and end of matches. Considering these stats, a bet on "Both Teams to Score" at 1.62 is justified.

Corners in the Match

Toluca averages 6.4 corners per game, Juarez 3.6. Over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times out of 5 for Toluca, 2 out of 5 for Juarez. The corner total market closest to average is 9.5: over 9.5 at 1.88, under 9.5 at 1.86. Toluca is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.37. It's expected that Toluca will pose more threats and accumulate more corners, with the total likely reaching 9-10. Juarez might increase activity, especially if trailing during the match.