Prediction for match Toluca — Juarez

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on March 8, Toluca will face Juarez. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Toluca is priced at 1.31, a draw at 5.00, and a win for Juarez at 9.05. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Toluca - 71.09%, Draw - 18.62%, Juarez - 10.29%. These figures indicate that Toluca is the clear favorite, with a significant gap in chances between the teams. For total goals, Over 2.5 is at 1.55, Under 3.5 at 1.50, both teams to score: yes - 1.92, no - 1.79. Notable individual totals include Toluca Over 2 at 1.67 and Juarez Over 1 at 2.85. The double chance odds are 1X at 1.03, 12 at 1.14, X2 at 3.24.

Team Statistics and Match Analysis

Toluca is showing strong performance in additional metrics: average possession over 5 matches is 55%, average yellow cards - 2, fouls - 12.6, offsides - 2.8. Juarez has 50% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In the last three matches, Toluca defeated UNAM Pumas 3-2 (04.03.2026), won against Guadalajara 2-0 (28.02.2026), and thrashed Necaxa 3-0 (22.02.2026). Juarez in their last three games beat Club America 2-1 (05.03.2026), overcame Atlas 3-1 (28.02.2026), and lost to Necaxa 1-2 (15.02.2026). The last head-to-head match on 30.11.2025 ended in a goalless draw.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Toluca vs Juarez

In terms of average scoring over 5 matches, Toluca has 2.6 goals per game, Juarez 3.8. Toluca scores an average of 2 and concedes 0.6; Juarez scores 1.8 and concedes 2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 for Toluca, and 4 out of 5 for Juarez. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were seen 2 times out of 5 for Toluca, 3 out of 5 for Juarez; in the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 for over 1.5. By intervals, Toluca most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (50%), while Juarez scores in two intervals: 31-45 and 76-90 (40% each). For goals conceded: Toluca often concedes late in the game (76-90, 71%), Juarez early (0-15, 30%). Overall, both teams show high scoring potential, especially Juarez with average totals and over 2.5 passes. Despite Toluca's solid defense, the attacking potential of both teams suggests at least three goals. A bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.55 looks optimal.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

For average corners over 5 matches, Toluca has 6.6, Juarez 4.4, totaling 11. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for both teams. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average values is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is at 2.42, under 10.5 at 1.47. For corner outcomes, Toluca is the favorite with odds of 1.23. In this match, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems logical, considering the high average figures for both teams and potential attacking activity.