Prediction for match Toluca — Pachuca, 27.10.2025

Match Analysis: Toluca vs Pachuca

In Liga MX on October 27, 2025, Toluca will face Pachuca. According to the data, Toluca has a 60.18% chance of winning, a draw is rated at 21.82%, and Pachuca's victory at 18.00%. The odds for these outcomes are as follows: Toluca win at 1.57, draw at 4.33, and Pachuca win at 5.25. Based on the percentages and odds, Toluca is the favorite in this match-up.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Toluca has shown excellent scoring ability, averaging 3.4 goals per game while conceding just 1, with an average total of 4.4 goals in their matches. Pachuca, in the same period, scored 1.6 and conceded 1.4, with a total goal average of 3. Toluca's average ball possession is 54.6%, while Pachuca's is 50.4%. In their last game, Toluca drew 0-0 against Tijuana, and before that, they defeated Querétaro 4-0. Pachuca lost 1-2 to Tigres UANL in their last match and previously drew 2-2 with Juárez. In the last five head-to-head encounters, the teams exchanged high-scoring matches: 3-2 and 5-0 for Toluca, 2-3 and 2-2 at Pachuca's ground, and also a 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of 5 matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals 4 times, and only once under. Toluca's average total goals is 4.4, while Pachuca's is 3. In the first half, both teams went over 1.5 goals 3 times, in the second half - Toluca went over 3 times, Pachuca 2. Toluca most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes - 33%, Pachuca in the same period and also 31-45 minutes (29% each). Goals conceded by Toluca are evenly distributed between 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Pachuca concedes 33% between 16-30 minutes.

Corners in the Match

Regarding corners, Toluca averages 4.2 per game over 5 matches, Pachuca 4.6. The total corners over 9.5 was not often exceeded: Toluca 0 out of 5 over, Pachuca 2 over and 3 under. The odds for this match on total corners over 9.5 are 1.91, under 9.5 - 1.80. In bets on corner wins, Toluca is the favorite with odds of 1.62.