Prediction for match Tondela — Benfica

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Tondela vs Benfica match in the Portuguese Primeira Liga draws attention with clear odds favoring Benfica. Benfica's victory is priced at 1.24, a draw at 6.85, and Tondela's win at 12.50. The outcome probabilities according to bookmakers are distributed as follows: Tondela win 7.75%, draw 14.14%, Benfica win 78.11%. In the goal totals market, the over 2.5 goals bet is highlighted with odds of 1.77, while the under 2.5 option is at 2.14. For both teams to score: yes is at 2.51, no at 1.46. Among Benfica's individual totals, over 2.5 goals stands out at 2.20, and for Tondela, under 0.5 goals is at 1.57. There are also various options for halves and corners. Overall, the odds reflect Benfica's clear advantage and the expectation of a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tondela averages 38% possession, 2 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Benfica, in the same period, shows 54% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Tondela's last three matches: 25.01.2026 - Famalicão - Tondela 3-0, 18.01.2026 - Tondela - Braga 0-1, 11.01.2026 - Moreirense - Tondela 1-0. Benfica's last three games: 28.01.2026 - Benfica - Real Madrid 4-2, 25.01.2026 - Benfica - Estrela 4-0, 21.01.2026 - Juventus - Benfica 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 29.10.2025, Benfica comfortably defeated Tondela 3-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Tondela - Benfica Match

Tondela played over 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches and under in two, while Benfica had two over and three under. By halves, Tondela recorded over 1.5 goals in the first half once and three times in the second half. Benfica had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second half. Averages: Tondela's matches see 2.4 goals per game, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Benfica averages 3.0 total goals, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Tondela scores most frequently between the 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals - 22% of goals in each. Benfica scores most often between the 46-60 minute interval (36%). For goals conceded, 50% of Tondela's are between the 61-75 minutes, while 60% of Benfica's are between the 16-30 minutes. Considering Benfica's scoring ability and Tondela's less reliable defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.77 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Tondela averages 3 corners per match, Benfica 6.6. In their last five matches, Tondela had over 9.5 corners twice, Benfica four times. Among corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.87, under 9.5 at 1.81. In the corners market, Benfica is the favorite with odds of 1.12. Statistically, both teams are capable of maintaining wing activity, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering the averages and frequency of this total for Benfica.