Prediction for match Tondela — Gil Vicente

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on April 13, Tondela will face Gil Vicente. The 1X2 odds highlight Gil Vicente as the favorite: a win for them is priced at 2.08, a draw at 3.26, and a Tondela victory at 4.10. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Gil Vicente - 46.61%, draw - 29.74%, Tondela - 23.65%. Among other markets, it's worth noting that over 2.5 goals is at 2.36, and 'both teams to score: yes' is at 1.97. However, the main focus is on Gil Vicente's individual total over 1 at 1.49, which seems most justified based on recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Tondela has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last three results: April 3 - Vitória Guimarães - Tondela 5-0, March 21 - Tondela - ABC 0-0, March 9 - Tondela - Rio Ave 0-1. Over the same period, Gil Vicente has secured 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last three games: April 3 - Gil Vicente - ABC 3-0, March 21 - Santa Clara - Gil Vicente 1-0, March 14 - Gil Vicente - Alverca 2-2. In their head-to-head on November 29, 2025, Gil Vicente lost to Tondela 0-1. Secondary statistics over 5 matches: Tondela's ball possession is 46%, average yellow cards 1.6, fouls 15.2, offsides 1. Gil Vicente's possession is 51.4%, yellow cards 2.2, fouls 14.2, offsides 1.2. These figures suggest slightly more attacking activity and ball control by Gil Vicente.

Team Scoring Streaks

In terms of scoring, Gil Vicente looks preferable: over 5 matches, the team averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with an average total of 3 goals per match. Tondela's numbers are lower: 0.8 scored, 1.6 conceded, total 2.4. In terms of over 2.5 goals: 4 out of 5 of Gil Vicente's games ended with three or more goals, compared to 2 out of 5 for Tondela. In the first half, Tondela has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Gil Vicente - 1 out of 5. In the second half, Gil Vicente has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Tondela - 2 out of 5. Regarding goal intervals: Gil Vicente most frequently scores between 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), while Tondela scores mostly between 46-60 (43%). In terms of goals conceded: Tondela is vulnerable early (0-15 minutes - 33%) and in the 61-75 interval (33%), Gil Vicente - in the 61-75 interval (33%). All this indicates that Gil Vicente consistently creates chances and can score at least one goal, and given Tondela's weak defense, the bet on Gil Vicente's individual total over 1 seems logical.

Corner Kick Bets

For the average number of corners over 5 matches: Tondela 3.6, Gil Vicente 5. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: both teams have 2 out of 5 matches. Looking at the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (8.6) is 8.5: total corners over 8.5 is at 1.50, under 10.25 is also at 1.50. In terms of corner outcome, Gil Vicente is the favorite with odds of 1.62. Statistically, Gil Vicente delivers more corners, so a bet on their individual total corners seems justified, and a total around 8.5-9.5 could also be interesting for betting.