Prediction for match Tondela — Vitoria Guimaraes, 08.11.2025

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Vitoria Guimaraes

On November 8, in the Primeira Liga, Tondela will face Vitoria Guimaraes. The odds for a Vitoria Guimaraes win are 2.35, for a Tondela victory - 3.10, and a draw is priced at 3.20. In percentage terms, Tondela's chances of winning are 30.41%, a draw is 29.46%, and a victory for Vitoria Guimaraes stands at 40.12%. This suggests a slight advantage for Vitoria Guimaraes, but a draw remains a viable outcome. The main odds indicate moderate scoring and a potential battle until the final whistle.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last 5 games, Tondela averages 46.4% possession, receives 4.4 yellow cards per match, commits 17 fouls, and records 2 offsides. Vitoria Guimaraes is slightly more disciplined: 2.2 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides with 46.2% possession. Tondela's last three matches were: November 2 - ABC 2-2 Tondela, October 26 - Tondela 0-3 Sporting Lisbon, October 5 - Rio Ave 3-0 Tondela. Vitoria Guimaraes' recent results are: November 1 - Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica, October 26 - Famalicao 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes, October 4 - Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 Santa Clara. In their head-to-head on July 22, 2023, Vitoria Guimaraes and Tondela played to a 1-1 draw, with the over 2.5 total goals being reached.

How Many Goals Can We Expect?

In Tondela's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals was achieved 4 out of 5 times, while for Vitoria Guimaraes, it was 2 out of 5. In the first half, Tondela had over 1.5 goals in two of their five games, while Vitoria Guimaraes managed this only once. In the second half, Tondela exceeded 1.5 goals three times out of five, while their opponents did so twice. Average goals scored: Tondela - 0.8, Vitoria Guimaraes - 0.6, both concede 1.8. Total goals per match: Tondela 2.6, Vitoria Guimaraes 2.4. By half: Tondela scores most frequently between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each), Vitoria Guimaraes between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (43% each). Both teams concede more in the second half: Tondela between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), Vitoria Guimaraes evenly throughout with a maximum of 20%. Considering the average scoring and frequency of over totals, it makes sense to consider under 2.5 goals at 1.65.

Corner Totals Analysis

Tondela averages 4.2 corners per game, Vitoria Guimaraes 4.8. In the last 5 matches, Tondela went over 9.5 corners twice, Vitoria Guimaraes once. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.83, and the same for under 9.5. For corners, Vitoria Guimaraes is favored at 1.67. Given that both teams rarely have matches with a high number of corners, betting on under 9.5 corners seems justified.