Prediction for match Tondela — Santa Clara

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga match between Tondela and Santa Clara, scheduled for March 1, 2026, the odds for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Santa Clara's victory is priced at 2.48, a draw at 3.06, and Tondela's win at 3.30. In terms of probabilities: Tondela's success is at 29.33%, a draw at 31.63%, and Santa Clara's victory at 39.03%. The double chance 1X (Tondela not losing) is offered at 1.58, making this option appealing given recent trends and the balance of power. Options for totals and both teams to score have higher odds; however, recent matches' statistics for both teams do not give a clear advantage on these markets.

Team Results and Statistics

Tondela has gained momentum in their last five-match series: in their last three encounters they performed as follows - on February 20, Estrela - Tondela 0-2, February 13, Tondela - Alverca 1-1, February 7, Estoril - Tondela 2-2. Santa Clara's last three matches were as follows: February 21, Alverca - Santa Clara 1-1, February 13, Santa Clara - Benfica 1-2, February 7, Estrela - Santa Clara 1-0. In the head-to-head meeting on September 27, 2025, Santa Clara lost to Tondela 1-2. Additional metrics over 5 matches: Tondela averages 37.6% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 15.4 fouls, and records 0.8 offsides per game. Santa Clara has higher possession at 53.4%, 3.6 yellow cards, 16.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. These figures indicate a more aggressive style from Santa Clara and greater ball control, but the results show minimal difference.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals, in the last five matches both teams played over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. The average number of goals in Tondela's matches is 2.2, while Santa Clara's is 2.6. Tondela scores 1 goal per game and concedes 1.2, while Santa Clara scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8. By halves: Tondela had only 1 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5 in the first and second halves, while Santa Clara had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second. The most frequent intervals for goals for Tondela are the 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and for Santa Clara, it's the 46-60 minute (50%). In terms of goals conceded: Tondela most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (60%), Santa Clara in the 31-45 minute interval (43%). These data suggest moderate scoring and the absence of a clear over-profile, making the double chance 1X bet optimal: Tondela consistently earns points and does not lag in key scoring metrics.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Tondela averages 4.6 corners per match, Santa Clara 4. On the total corners market of 9.5, both teams played 2 out of 5 over and 3 under. If we take the sum of the average corners (8.6), the nearest total with a pair of odds is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.63, under 8.5 at 2.11. For the outcome on corners, Santa Clara is the favorite with odds of 1.81. Overall, corner statistics suggest a moderate number of set-pieces, and a bet on over 8.5 corners looks logical given both teams' average figures. Also, Santa Clara's victory on corners can be considered if focusing on the odds.