Prediction for match Tondela — Braga, 18.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match

In the Primeira Liga on January 18, Tondela will face Braga. The odds indicate a clear advantage for Braga: their win is priced at 1.66, a draw at 3.82, and a Tondela victory at 5.92. In terms of probability, Braga has a 58.31% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.34%, and Tondela's chances are at 16.35%. These figures highlight the difference in class and current form between the teams, as well as Braga's consistent performance in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tondela has played as follows: on January 11 - Moreirense vs Tondela 1-0, January 3 - Tondela vs Arouca 3-1, December 21 - Tondela vs Casa Pia 1-2. They also faced Nacional (1-3) and Porto (0-2). Braga's recent matches include: January 3 - Estrela vs Braga 3-3, December 28 - Braga vs Benfica 2-2, December 19 - Estoril vs Braga 1-0. They also secured victories over Santa Clara (1-0) and Nice (1-0). Tondela's average ball possession over five matches is 39.6%, while Braga's is 61%. Yellow cards average: 2.8 for Tondela and 2 for Braga. Fouls: 12.2 against 11, offsides: 3.2 for Tondela and 1 for Braga. In their last head-to-head on August 10, 2025, Braga defeated Tondela 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Tondela has an average of 2.8 goals per game, while Braga averages 2.6. Tondela scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.8, while Braga scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 games for Tondela, and 2 out of 5 for Braga. Over 1.5 goals in the first half: 1 out of 5 for Tondela, and 2 out of 5 for Braga. In the second half, Tondela had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Braga 1 out of 5. Goal intervals: Tondela most frequently scores between 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), and concedes most often between 46-60 (38%). Braga scores most often between 31-45 minutes (57%) and concedes between 16-30 and 46-60 (33% each). These stats suggest Braga is more efficient at converting their chances and controls the game more often, while Tondela is prone to conceding in the second half. Considering the average goals and total overs, along with Braga's attacking advantage, betting on a Braga win seems the most justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, over 5 matches, Tondela earns 4.4 corners, and Braga 4.2. Over 9.5 corners occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. Considering the total corners, the average sum is 8.6. The closest line to this is over 8.5 at 1.58 and under 8.5 at 2.15. In terms of corners, Braga is favored with odds of 1.38. Given both teams' average activity from the corner flag, betting on over 8.5 corners seems logical, and Braga's advantage in this aspect can also be considered.