Prediction for match Tottenham — Aston Villa, 10.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Tottenham and Aston Villa will face off on January 10, 2026, in the FA Cup. According to the 1X2 odds, Tottenham's victory is priced at 2.50, Aston Villa's at 2.66, and a draw is at 3.38. Looking at the probability distribution, Tottenham has a 37.32% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.60%, and Aston Villa's chance of success is 35.08%. These figures indicate that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite and expect a closely contested match between the teams. This balance in odds and probabilities suggests that the match could be competitive and high-scoring, considering the attacking potential of both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Tottenham lost to Bournemouth 2-3 on January 7, drew 1-1 with Sunderland on January 4, and drew 0-0 with Brentford on January 1. Over the same period, Aston Villa defeated Nottingham Forest 3-1 (January 3), drew 0-0 with Crystal Palace (January 7), and lost to Arsenal 1-4 (December 30). In a five-match series, Tottenham's average ball possession is 44.8%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Aston Villa has higher possession at 53%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 6.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on October 19, 2025, Tottenham lost to Aston Villa 1-2. These stats highlight that Aston Villa has shown a higher possession percentage and discipline lately, while Tottenham tends to commit more fouls and receive more bookings.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Tottenham had over 2.5 goals in two games and under in three. Aston Villa saw over 2.5 goals in four games and under in only one. The average number of goals in Tottenham's matches is 2.2, while Aston Villa's is 3. In terms of goals scored: Tottenham - 1, Aston Villa - 1.6, and goals conceded: 1.2 and 1.4, respectively. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for both teams, while in the second half, Tottenham had two overs on 1.5, and Aston Villa had three. Tottenham most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (40% each), while Aston Villa scores between 46-60 minutes (40%). For goals conceded, Tottenham's most vulnerable period is 76-90 minutes (33%), and Aston Villa's is 61-75 and 76-90 (40% each). These data suggest that both teams are inclined towards high-scoring games, especially in the second half, and Aston Villa often shows an over-profile in goals. Overall, the statistics support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.86, as both teams regularly score and concede, with four out of five Aston Villa matches ending with three or more goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, over the last five games, Tottenham takes 3 corners, and Aston Villa takes 4.8. For over 9.5 corners total, Tottenham had one out of five, and Aston Villa had two out of five. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5 corners, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 is at 1.57, and under 9.5 is at 2.16. For the outcome on corners, Tottenham is favored with odds of 1.97. Considering the average sum of corners for both teams (7.8), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems risky but not impossible if the teams play offensively. A cautious approach to corner totals can be considered, focusing on the recent match dynamics and frequency of occurrences.