On November 23rd, a Ligue 1 match will take place between Toulouse and Angers. According to the odds for the main outcome, Toulouse is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.68, a draw at 4.00, and an Angers win at 5.89. In percentage terms, the chances are distributed as follows: Toulouse - 58.64%, draw - 24.63%, Angers - 16.73%. This indicates a significant advantage for the home team, although a draw is also possible according to probabilities.
In their last five matches, Toulouse has had an average possession of 46.8%, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 14.4 fouls, and had 0.6 offsides per game. Angers, over the same period, maintained 43% possession, received 1.2 yellows, committed 13 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides. In their last three games, Toulouse played as follows: 09.11 - Lorient 1-1 Toulouse, 02.11 - Toulouse 0-0 Le Havre, 29.10 - Toulouse 2-2 Rennes. Angers: 09.11 - Angers 2-0 Auxerre, 02.11 - Lille 1-0 Angers, 29.10 - Marseille 2-2 Angers. In the head-to-head match on 02.03.2025, Angers lost to Toulouse 0-4, with the total over 2.5 goals being hit. Previous encounters have also been high-scoring: for example, on 16.10.2022, Toulouse won 3-2 against Angers, again surpassing the 2.5 goals total.
In five matches, Toulouse's total over 2.5 goals was achieved 2 times, and Angers' once. By halves: Toulouse had over 1.5 in the first half once, and in the second half 2 out of 5 times; Angers similarly - 1 and 3 times respectively. The average goals for both teams are identical: 2.2 goals per game, with 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. Toulouse's most frequent scoring intervals are 0-15 (38%) and 76-90 (38%), while Angers scores most often in three intervals after the break: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90, each at 25%. Toulouse concedes most frequently in the 46-60 interval (67%), Angers in the 16-30 (50%). Both teams show balanced stats for goals scored and conceded, but the share of matches with over 2.5 goals is low. However, both teams regularly score in the second halves, and the timing structure of goals suggests a potentially eventful ending. Given the balance of attacking and defensive metrics, as well as the frequency of over 2.5 goals, the optimal choice is a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.86.
Over the last five matches, Toulouse averages 5.8 corners, and Angers 4.2. Toulouse's total corners over 9.5 hit 3 out of 5 times, Angers' 2 times. For the overall match total, the offer is: over 8.25 at 1.52, under 8.25 at 2.43. Toulouse is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.33. Based on this data, a bet on total corners over 8.25 seems justified - both teams can maintain the pace in corner deliveries, and Toulouse's frequency of hitting the total is above average.
Prediction by Sportwars.net for the match Toulouse vs Angers, 2025-11-23 - Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.86. Correct score: 1-0, odds 5.50.


