Tips for match Toulouse — Le Havre, 02.11.2025

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Le Havre

On November 2nd, Toulouse will face Le Havre in Ligue 1. The odds for the main outcome show a significant advantage for Toulouse: a win is priced at 1.75, a draw at 3.70, and a win for Le Havre at 4.50. The 1X2 probability distribution is as follows: Toulouse 53.71%, draw 25.40%, Le Havre 20.89%. This setup highlights that bookmakers favor Toulouse, although a draw is also a plausible outcome. The match line also features odds on totals and both teams to score, but the main skew remains in favor of the hosts.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Toulouse averaged 42.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. During the same period, Le Havre averaged 42.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Recent matches for Toulouse: October 29, 2025 - Toulouse 2-2 Rennes, October 25, 2025 - Monaco 1-0 Toulouse, October 19, 2025 - Toulouse 4-0 Metz. Le Havre's recent games: October 29, 2025 - Le Havre 1-0 Brest, October 26, 2025 - Auxerre 0-1 Le Havre, October 18, 2025 - Marseille 6-2 Le Havre. In their recent head-to-head on February 23, 2025, Le Havre vs Toulouse ended 1-4, with the total over 2.5 goals hitting. Earlier encounters often resulted in high-scoring games.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Toulouse has an average goal tally of 3.2 over 5 matches, while Le Havre averages 2.8. Toulouse scores an average of 2 goals per game, conceding 1.2, while Le Havre scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. For totals over 2.5 goals: Toulouse has 4 out of 5, Le Havre has 2 out of 5. In the first halves, Toulouse has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, and Le Havre has 2 out of 5; in the second halves, Toulouse has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, and Le Havre has 1 out of 5. Toulouse often scores in the 0-15 (30%) and 76-90 (30%) intervals, while Le Havre scores mostly in the 76-90 (44%) period. Toulouse concedes most frequently in the 46-60 and 76-90 (33% each) intervals, while Le Havre concedes in the 16-30 (40%) interval. This spread across halves and intervals, along with a high average total for both teams, suggests betting on the total over 2.5. This bet is priced at 2.00, and Toulouse's recent matches confirm their attacking style, while Le Havre can maintain a high tempo.

Corners in the Match

Toulouse averages 4.2 corners per game, Le Havre 4. Both teams have 2 out of 5 matches going over 9.5 corners. The line for the match offers a total of over 8.5 corners at 1.73 - under 9 at 1.80. Toulouse is favored in the corner market, with odds of 1.50. A cautious approach to corner bets seems logical: neither team shows a high frequency of large totals, so betting on under 9 corners is also worth considering, given the 1.80 odds. The average corner counts for both teams are close, reducing the likelihood of a significant disparity in this aspect.