Prediction for match Toulouse — Lorient

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Lorient

In Ligue 1 on March 21, Toulouse will face Lorient. According to the odds, Toulouse is the favorite with a win priced at 2.06, a draw at 3.18, and a Lorient victory at 4.62. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: 47.76% for a Toulouse win, 30.94% for a draw, and 21.30% for a Lorient win. A bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.22 looks appealing, considering both teams' attacking profiles and their recent goal-scoring statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Toulouse recorded the following results: on 15.03.2026, Metz 3-4 Toulouse; on 07.03.2026, Toulouse 0-1 Marseille; on 04.03.2026, Marseille 5-6 Toulouse. Lorient's recent matches were as follows: on 14.03.2026, Lorient 2-1 Lens; on 08.03.2026, Lille 1-1 Lorient; on 04.03.2026, Lorient 5-6 Nice. In their last head-to-head encounter (09.11.2025), Lorient and Toulouse drew 1-1. Additional stats over five matches show Toulouse with 45.4% possession, an average of 2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game; Lorient has the same 45.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have an average total of 3 goals per match over their last five games. Toulouse scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6, while Lorient scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4. For over 2.5 goals: Toulouse has 2 out of 5, Lorient 3 out of 5, confirming their tendency for high-scoring games. By halves: both teams have 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half, and in the second half, Lorient has 3 out of 5, Toulouse 2 out of 5 for over 1.5. Goal intervals: Toulouse most often scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (29%), Lorient scores 38% of their goals from the 16th to 30th minute. Toulouse concedes most in the first 15 minutes (38%), while Lorient concedes most towards the end (76th-90th, 29%). All these factors suggest a high likelihood of three or more goals in the match, especially given that both teams have consistently scored 3 goals combined in their last five matches.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last 5 matches, Toulouse averages 5.4 corners, Lorient 2.4, for a total of 7.8. For over 9.5 corners: Toulouse has 2 out of 5, Lorient 3 out of 5. Among the lines for corners, the total closest to the average sum is 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.31, under 7.5 at 2.92. Toulouse is favored for corners with odds of 1.48. Overall, expect Toulouse to be more active in terms of corners, with the total likely close to 8-9 for the match.