Prediction for match Toulouse — Marseille

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Ligue 1 on March 7, Toulouse will face Marseille. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Marseille is at 2.39, a win for Toulouse at 3.13, and a draw at 3.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Toulouse - 31.46%, draw - 27.35%, Marseille - 41.20%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.88, while under 2.5 is at 2.07. For both teams to score: yes - 1.62, no - 2.18. Among individual totals: Toulouse over 1 goal - 1.67, Marseille over 1 goal - 1.43. For the second half total over 1.5 goals, the odds are 2.04. Overall, the line highlights Marseille as the favorite, but the match's scoring potential is also considered high.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Toulouse has averaged 48.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Marseille has averaged 53.6% possession, 3 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Toulouse played as follows: March 4 - Marseille vs Toulouse 5-6, February 28 - Rennes vs Toulouse 1-0, February 21 - Toulouse vs Paris FC 1-1. Marseille's last three games were: March 4 - Marseille vs Toulouse 5-6, March 1 - Marseille vs Lyon 3-2, February 20 - Brest vs Marseille 2-0. In their last head-to-head on March 4, Marseille and Toulouse played a high-scoring game - 5-6.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Toulouse has averaged 2.2 goals per match, while Marseille has averaged 4. Toulouse has hit over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Marseille has done so in 4 out of 5. For the first half over 1.5 goals, Toulouse hit it 2 times, and Marseille 3 times. In the second half, Toulouse only hit over 1.5 goals once, while Marseille did so in 4 out of 5. Toulouse scores between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), while Marseille scores in the first 15 minutes (29%). For goals conceded, Toulouse's most vulnerable period is the 31st-45th minutes (50%), while for Marseille it's the 76th-90th (43%). Marseille shows consistent scoring, while Toulouse's defense lacks reliability. Their last head-to-head, with 11 goals, also supports a bet on over 2.5 goals. Overall, both teams' goal and timing stats support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last 5 matches, Toulouse has averaged 6.8 corners, Marseille 4.6, totaling 11.4. The total over 9.5 corners hit 3 times for Toulouse and 2 times for Marseille. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.06, while under 9.5 is 1.68. Marseille is favored for corners with odds of 1.99. Given these numbers, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, considering the high averages for both teams and frequent hits for Toulouse. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly deliver at least 4-5 corners per match, supporting the idea of a high-scoring game in this regard.