Prediction for match Toulouse — Paris FC, 21.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On February 21, in Ligue 1, Toulouse will face Paris FC. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Toulouse to win at 1.94, draw at 3.50, and Paris FC to win at 4.67. The probability percentages are: Toulouse - 50.77%, draw - 28.14%, Paris FC - 21.09%. These figures highlight Toulouse's advantage in the eyes of analysts and bookmakers, although a draw is also considered quite likely. Paris FC is seen as the underdog, but not without a chance for a positive result.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Toulouse has an average possession of 53.8%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 15.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Paris FC averages 55% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. Toulouse's last three matches: 15.02.2026 - Le Havre 2-1 Toulouse, 08.02.2026 - Angers 1-0 Toulouse, 04.02.2026 - Toulouse 1-0 Amiens. Paris FC's last three matches: 14.02.2026 - Paris FC 0-5 Lens, 08.02.2026 - Auxerre 0-0 Paris FC, 04.02.2026 - Lorient 2-0 Paris FC. In their head-to-head on 13.12.2025, Paris FC lost to Toulouse 0-3.

Goals Statistics

Toulouse's scoring rate over the last 5 games is 1.4 goals per match, with 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded on average. Paris FC has a higher total average of 2.2, but scores only 0.4 and concedes 1.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 1 out of 5 matches for Toulouse and 2 out of 5 for Paris FC. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were seen twice for Toulouse and once for Paris FC. In the second half, Toulouse had no matches with more than 1.5 goals, while Paris FC had 3 out of 5. Goal intervals show Toulouse most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), and concedes during the same period (67%). Paris FC most often scored between the 76th and 90th minute (75%), and conceded evenly across three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (29% each). Considering Toulouse's low scoring and Paris FC's weak attack, along with both teams' under-profile for a total of 2.5, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.73 seems logical.

Corner Bets

Over the last 5 matches, Toulouse averages 5.6 corners, and Paris FC averages 3.4. The total corners over 9.5 happened twice for both teams in these series. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 2.15, under 9.5 is at 1.59. Toulouse has the advantage in corners, with a win in corners priced at 1.48. Given the average activity in corner kicks and not a very high frequency of over 9.5, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems cautious, but a bet on Toulouse to win the corners is supported by statistics.