Prediction for match Backa Topola — Radnik Surdulica

Match Analysis: Backa Topola vs Radnik Surdulica

The Serbian Super Liga match between Backa Topola and Radnik Surdulica is scheduled for November 30, 2025. According to current odds, a win for Backa Topola is priced at 1.81, a draw at 3.30, and a victory for Radnik Surdulica at 4.12. The probability percentages for the outcomes are as follows: Backa Topola - 50.31%, draw - 27.59%, Radnik Surdulica - 22.10%. The most likely outcome is a win for Backa Topola, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the relatively high draw percentage.

Teams' Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Backa Topola averaged 58% ball possession, recorded 2 bookings, 16.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Radnik Surdulica, over the same period, had 44.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Backa Topola's last three matches: 23.11.2025 - Radnicki Nis - Backa Topola 1-1, 09.11.2025 - IMT Novi Beograd - Backa Topola 1-1, 02.11.2025 - Backa Topola - Napredak 1-1. Radnik Surdulica: 21.11.2025 - Radnik Surdulica - Vojvodina 3-1, 08.11.2025 - Radnik Surdulica - OFK Beograd 1-0, 02.11.2025 - Crvena Zvezda - Radnik Surdulica 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 26.07.2025, Radnik Surdulica and Backa Topola drew 0-0, with under 2.5 goals being a successful bet.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, Backa Topola exceeded 2.5 goals only once, with four matches ending under 2.5 goals. Radnik Surdulica had two matches over 2.5 goals and three under. Backa Topola's average goal count is 2.0 per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Radnik Surdulica averages 2.8 total goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1. In terms of halves, Backa Topola never exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half over five matches but exceeded 1.5 goals three times in the second half. Radnik Surdulica exceeded 1.5 goals three times in the first half and twice in the second. Backa Topola most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (40% each), while Radnik Surdulica scores in the same intervals (30% each). Backa Topola most often concedes between the 61st-75th minutes (40%), while Radnik Surdulica concedes evenly across the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, 46th-60th, and 61st-75th intervals. Given Backa Topola's low scoring and Radnik Surdulica's moderate numbers, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems logical.

Corners Totals Analysis

Backa Topola averages 5.4 corners per game, while Radnik Surdulica averages 3.6. In the last five matches, Backa Topola exceeded 9.5 corners twice, and Radnik Surdulica did so three times. The closest total to the sum of averages is 9.0: over 9 corners is priced at 2.00, with no odds for under. Among paired totals, 9.5 is closest: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.25, under 9.5 at 1.56. For corners outcome, Backa Topola is favored at 1.49. Considering both teams' average activity on corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems a reasonable additional choice.