Prediction for match TSV Hartberg — Ried, 22.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match

In the Bundesliga match between TSV Hartberg and Ried, the odds for a win are quite close, indicating no clear favorite. Ried is given odds of 2.51 to win, Hartberg is at 2.67, and a draw is priced at 3.34. In terms of probability distribution, Hartberg has a 34.93% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.92%, and Ried has a 37.15% chance. Ried has a slight edge in probability, but the gap is minimal, promising a competitive game.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the additional statistics over the last five matches, Hartberg averaged 32% possession, committed 10.6 fouls, received 1.6 yellow cards, and had 1.4 offsides per match. Ried had 48.6% possession, 11.2 fouls, 1.4 cards, and 2.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Hartberg's results were: Wolfsberger 1-2 Hartberg, Hartberg 2-1 Austria Vienna, Altach 2-2 Hartberg. Ried's results in the same period were: Ried 2-1 BW Linz, Red Bull Salzburg 4-1 Ried, Ried 0-2 Rapid Vienna. In their head-to-head on 14.09.2025, Ried lost to Hartberg 0-2, with the total over 2.5 not coming through. Previous encounters include: 27.05.2023 Hartberg 2-0 Ried, 08.04.2023 Ried 1-3 Hartberg, 12.02.2023 Ried 0-1 Hartberg, 27.08.2022 Hartberg 2-0 Ried. This history shows Hartberg often succeeds against Ried, but this season both teams have similar stats.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams tend to play high-scoring matches. Hartberg has played over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Ried has done so in 3 out of 5. On average, Hartberg scores 3.2 goals per game over five matches, Ried averages 3. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for Hartberg and twice for Ried, while in the second half, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals. Hartberg most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (75%), while Ried also scores late (33%). Hartberg usually concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%), and Ried between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%). Given both teams' tendency for high-scoring games, betting on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.98 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of corner statistics, Hartberg averages 2 corners per match, while Ried averages 4.6. In the last five meetings, the total over 9.5 corners occurred twice for each team. Among the corner total odds, over 8 is priced at 1.51 and under 8 at 2.46. For corner outcomes, Ried is priced at 2.02. Considering Ried's activity in this area and the moderate frequency of high corner totals in both teams' matches, betting on over 8 corners is logical.